{"id":1290129,"date":"2026-09-02T11:44:28","date_gmt":"2026-09-02T08:44:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/?p=1290129"},"modified":"2026-09-02T11:44:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-02T08:44:28","slug":"zari-je-nejhorsi-mesic-pro-akcie-co-to-znamena-pro-investory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/cs-cz\/news-and-analysis\/market-insights\/zari-je-nejhorsi-mesic-pro-akcie-co-to-znamena-pro-investory\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed je nejhor\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc pro akcie. Co to znamen\u00e1 pro investory?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed je jedin\u00fdm m\u011bs\u00edcem v roce, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 na americk\u00e9m akciov\u00e9m trhu dlouhodob\u011b z\u00e1porn\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd v\u00fdnos. Tato statistika ale je\u0161t\u011b neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee by drobn\u00ed investo\u0159i m\u011bli m\u011bnit svou strategii.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Statistika z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed investor\u016fm skute\u010dn\u011b nelichot\u00ed. Od roku 1928 \u010dinil pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd pohyb americk\u00e9ho akciov\u00e9ho trhu v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed pokles o 1,17 %. Zat\u00edmco ostatn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce skon\u010dily v \u010derven\u00fdch \u010d\u00edslech ve 39 % p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f, u z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed je to 55 %. Dev\u011bt ze \u010dty\u0159iceti nejhor\u0161\u00edch propad\u016f v historii indexu S&amp;P 500 nav\u00edc p\u0159ipad\u00e1 pr\u00e1v\u011b na tento m\u011bs\u00edc.<\/p>\n<p>Tento jev je natolik v\u00fdrazn\u00fd, \u017ee ho Wall Street naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u201cz\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00fd efekt\u201d, tedy sez\u00f3nn\u00ed tendence akci\u00ed oslabovat pr\u00e1v\u011b po letn\u00edch pr\u00e1zdnin\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>Existuje pro n\u011bj n\u011bkolik vysv\u011btlen\u00ed. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed tento efekt vysv\u011btluj\u00ed tak, \u017ee na spr\u00e1vce velk\u00fdch fond\u016f m\u00e1 vliv jejich n\u00e1vrat\u00a0 z dovolen\u00fdch a za\u010dnou rebalancovat sv\u00e1 portfolia nebo i vyb\u00edrat zisky. Jin\u00ed to p\u0159isuzuj\u00ed t\u0159eba hedgeov\u00fdm fond\u016fm, kdy\u017e \u00fa\u010detn\u00ed rok zpravidla kon\u010d\u00ed v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, a tak si upravuj\u00ed portfolia a skl\u00edzej\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. Roli hraje i prodej ztr\u00e1tov\u00fdch akci\u00ed kv\u016fli dani a z\u0159ejm\u011b tak\u00e9 samotn\u00e9 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed slab\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/p>\n<p>Pr\u016fm\u011br ale skr\u00fdv\u00e1 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd detail. V z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025 index S&amp;P 500 pos\u00edlil o 3,5 %, p\u0159ipsal si p\u00e1t\u00fd rostouc\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc v \u0159ad\u011b a \u0161lo o nejlep\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed od roku 2010. Do leto\u0161n\u00edho z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed vstupuj\u00ed americk\u00e9 akcie po relativn\u011b siln\u00e9m roce navzdory glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nejistot\u011b a index se v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech pohyboval na rekordn\u00edch maximech. Situace je ale nejist\u00e1. Konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b po v\u00edkendu znovu eskaluje a ceny ropy rostou. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 na trhu rostou o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee Americk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby. Siln\u00e9 \u010d\u00edsla v\u00fdsledkov\u00e9 sez\u00f3ny, podpo\u0159en\u00e9 rekordn\u00edmi v\u00fdsledky Nvidie, by trh mohly tla\u010dit d\u00e1le sm\u011brem v\u00fd\u0161. Rizika ale po l\u00e9tu vzrostly a tak by m\u00edrn\u00fd propad nebyl p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fd. V\u00fdrazn\u00fd pokles na trhu ale nen\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Riziko, \u017ee investorovi unikne by\u0165 jedin\u00fd siln\u00fd den na trhu, je p\u0159itom v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e propad, kter\u00e9mu by se sna\u017eil prodejem akci\u00ed na za\u010d\u00e1tku z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed vyhnout. Podle anal\u00fdzy dat od roku 1996 do 2025 by deset tis\u00edc dolar\u016f vlo\u017een\u00fdch do indexu S&amp;P 500 za t\u011bchto t\u0159icet let vzrostlo na 192 167 dolar\u016f. Kdyby investor za stejn\u00e9 obdob\u00ed prome\u0161kal jen deset nejlep\u0161\u00edch obchodn\u00edch dn\u016f, m\u011bl by 85 490 dolar\u016f, tedy o 56 % m\u00e9n\u011b. P\u0159i prome\u0161k\u00e1n\u00ed t\u0159iceti nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dn\u016f by m\u011bl 31 123 dolar\u016f, o 84 % m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Pro drobn\u00e9 investory z toho plyne pom\u011brn\u011b jednoduch\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br. Snaha na\u010dasovat trh se nevypl\u00e1c\u00ed. Nejlep\u0161\u00edm postupem je investovat dlouhodobn\u011b a pravideln\u011b, a sez\u00f3nn\u00ed v\u00fdkyvy na trhu p\u0159e\u010dkat. A\u010dkoliv nev\u00edme, zda bude leto\u0161n\u00ed z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed pat\u0159it k t\u011bm slab\u00fdm, pro dlouhodob\u00e9ho investora to nehraje velkou roli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed je jedin\u00fdm m\u011bs\u00edcem v roce, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 na americk\u00e9m akciov\u00e9m trhu dlouhodob\u011b z\u00e1porn\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd v\u00fdnos. Tato statistika ale je\u0161t\u011b neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee by drobn\u00ed investo\u0159i m\u011bli m\u011bnit svou strategii. Statistika z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed investor\u016fm skute\u010dn\u011b nelichot\u00ed. Od roku 1928 \u010dinil pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd pohyb americk\u00e9ho akciov\u00e9ho trhu v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed pokles o 1,17 %. Zat\u00edmco ostatn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce skon\u010dily v \u010derven\u00fdch&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":144,"featured_media":1206335,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1308],"tags":[],"asset_type":[],"class_list":["post-1290129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-insights"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<title>Z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00fd efekt: M\u011bli by investo\u0159i prod\u00e1vat akcie<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed je historicky nejslab\u0161\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edcem pro americk\u00e9 akcie. 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