{"id":1056496,"date":"2025-05-02T11:43:44","date_gmt":"2025-05-02T08:43:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/?p=1056496"},"modified":"2026-03-20T19:41:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T17:41:27","slug":"deep-dive-whats-going-on-with-nvidia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/market-insights\/deep-dives\/deep-dive-whats-going-on-with-nvidia\/","title":{"rendered":"Deep Dive: What\u2019s Going On With Nvidia?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Daily Breakdown takes a closer look at Nvidia, given the stock&#8217;s poor performance despite strong underlying fundamentals.<\/p>\n<h2>Friday&#8217;s TLDR<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Breaking down Nvidia\u2019s business<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A look at its growth estimates<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And sizing up its valuation<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What\u2019s Happening?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><i>Before we dive in, let\u2019s make sure you\u2019re set to receive The Daily Breakdown each morning. <\/i><b><i>To keep getting our daily insights<\/i><\/b><i>, all you need to do is <\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/login\"><i>log in<\/i><\/a><i> to your eToro account.<\/i><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Earlier this year, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/nvda\">Nvidia<\/a> was the world\u2019s largest company by market cap. But shares have been roughed up lately. While the stock has rebounded from the lows, shares were down a breathtaking 43.4% from the highs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Did Nvidia lose its position in the AI race or something?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Nvidia Is the Building Blocks for AI<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nvidia\u2019s positioning itself at the forefront of technology\u2019s next great frontier. Mega-cap tech can\u2019t get enough of the company\u2019s top-of-the-line GPUs right now, which fuel the super-computing needs of today\u2019s AI applications.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These GPUs are hardware, but Nvidia also offers software solutions, a business that creates a \u201cstickier\u201d moat and tends to generate solid growth with strong, defensible margins. Aside from robust demand for its best-in-breed GPUs, this is partly why Nvidia has avoided some of the cyclicality that can accompany chip stocks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A few months ago, mega-cap companies laid out big spending plans for 2025. A lot of that spend \u2014 referred to as CapEx \u2014 is going toward building out their AI products. However, the worry is that an economic slowdown would cause these companies to reel in their spending plans, hurting firms like Nvidia.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That fear isn\u2019t coming to fruition, though.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/msft\">Microsoft<\/a> just reiterated its lofty spending plans for 2025, echoing that of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/goog\">Alphabet\u2019s<\/a> approach. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/meta\">Meta<\/a> actually raised its CapEx outlook for the year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Fundamentals\u00a0<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Earlier this week, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/the-daily-breakdown\/a-look-at-nvidias-growth-numbers\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">we took a look at<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the big increase in sales and net income for Nvidia. The growth has been impressive, but even more impressive has been the margin expansion, as more revenue makes its way to the bottom line.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In its most recent fiscal year (FY 2025), Nvidia grew its earnings and revenue 146% and 114%, respectively. But as we\u2019ve talked about many times before, it\u2019s not about what a company has done\u2026<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">it\u2019s about what it\u2019s going to do<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. In that regard, analysts remain optimistic.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For fiscal 2026 (which is this year), consensus expectations call for earnings growth of 49% and revenue growth of 54%. For fiscal 2027 (next year), earnings are projected to climb 29% and revenue is forecast to grow 23%. Free cash flow is forecast to jump 57% and 33% for these periods, respectively.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>The Bottom Line<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Remember that estimates are just educated guesses. Nobody knows for certain how the next six months will shake out, let alone the next two years. So investors can\u2019t necessarily bank on these estimates playing out. For instance, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/the-daily-breakdown\/us-restrictions-hit-nvidia\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">export restrictions<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> are an ongoing overhang for Nvidia.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, estimates are good points of reference to get a general sense of future growth expectations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now let\u2019s look at the valuation \ud83d\udc47<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Want to receive these insights straight to your inbox?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a class=\"e-cta\" href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/accounts\/sign-up\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Sign up here<\/a><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Setup \u2014 Nvidia<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We know that Nvidia has done well over the last few years and it\u2019s clear that analysts expect it to keep doing well going forward. But what exactly are investors paying for this growth?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1056497\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1056497\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1056497\" src=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/finchat-chart-export-4-1024x726.png\" alt=\"Nvidia's forward P\/E ratio, for The Daily Breakdown\" width=\"1024\" height=\"726\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/finchat-chart-export-4-1024x726.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/finchat-chart-export-4-300x213.png 300w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/finchat-chart-export-4-768x544.png 768w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/finchat-chart-export-4-1536x1089.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/finchat-chart-export-4.png 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1056497\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>A look at Nvidia&#8217;s forward P\/E ratio. Source: FinChat<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is a chart of the forward price-to-earnings ratio. This ratio takes the current stock price (P) and divides it by the expected earnings (E). If the company is profitable, using the P\/E ratio can help gauge whether the stock is cheap or expensive compared to its historical valuation. Under these circumstances, the lower the P\/E ratio, the cheaper the valuation is considered (and vice versa).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the case of Nvidia, the chart above spans the last two years. By that comparison, the valuation is near the lower end of the range over that period. That\u2019s reassuring for investors, because despite the recent rally, there\u2019s less of a concern about overpaying for the stock at today\u2019s prices.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For what it\u2019s worth, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/NVDA\/research\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">consensus analyst price target<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is near $165, implying almost 50% upside from current levels.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Disclaimer:<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Please note that due to market volatility, some of the prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Daily Breakdown takes a closer look at Nvidia, given the stock&#8217;s poor performance despite strong underlying fundamentals. Friday&#8217;s TLDR Breaking down Nvidia\u2019s business A look at its growth estimates And sizing up its valuation What\u2019s Happening? Before we dive in, let\u2019s make sure you\u2019re set to receive The Daily Breakdown each morning. To keep&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":130,"featured_media":1245682,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6819],"tags":[],"asset_type":[],"class_list":["post-1056496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-deep-dives"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<title>The Daily Breakdown Deep Dive: What\u2019s Going On With Nvidia?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Daily Breakdown takes a closer look at Nvidia, given the stock&#039;s poor performance despite strong underlying fundamentals.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1056496\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta 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