{"id":1189914,"date":"2025-12-10T16:07:27","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T14:07:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/?p=1189914"},"modified":"2025-12-10T16:07:27","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T14:07:27","slug":"retail-investors-bullish-on-2026-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/latest-news\/press-release\/retail-investors-bullish-on-2026-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Retail Investors Bullish on 2026 Market as Rates Decline, Risks of Political &#038; Economic Concerns Endure"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">63% anticipate market rally will continue into the new year<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Majority (78%) of retail investors feel confident about their investments\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Political uncertainty and slowing economic growth are main threats to the rally<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">About half (44%) of retail investors anticipate interest rates declining in the coming year<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A third (30%) plan to invest more as interest rates decline, particularly Millennial investors<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Wednesday, December 10, 2025<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> &#8211; The majority (63%) of American retail investors are optimistic that the current bull market will extend into the next year, according to the latest quarterly <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/investing\/retail-investor-beat\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail Investor Beat<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from trading and investing platform <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/etoro.com\/en-us\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" ><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">eToro<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The study, which surveyed 1,000 retail investors across the United States, found that retail investors\u2019 positive outlook for 2026 is also reflected in confidence levels in their portfolios, with 78% expressing confidence in their investments, a percentage that remains unchanged from Q4 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When asked about whether they are on track to achieve their investment goals, a majority (62%) believe they are, while 21% say it\u2019s too early to tell.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Commenting on the data, eToro\u2019s US Investment Analyst Bret Kenwell, said<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cAfter another strong year, retail investors remain confident in their long-term approach. While they recognize near-term risks to the economy, investors continue to focus on the positives \u2014 like strong earnings growth and falling interest rates \u2014 as they look for the bull market to carry into 2026. Despite the market\u2019s short-term ebbs and flows, investors remain committed to their goals and steady, disciplined investing.\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The latest Retail Investor Beat reveals that investors see political uncertainty (42%), slowing economic growth or a recession (40%), and persistent or surging inflation (38%) as the leading external risks to the bull market in 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Biggest external risks to bull market\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Political uncertainty<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">42%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Slowing economic growth or recession\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">40%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Persistent or resurging inflation\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">38%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Global supply chain disruptions or commodity shocks\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">29%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Geopolitical instability or war\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">27%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Consumer demand weakening<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">25%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Interest rate hikes or tighter monetary policy\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">24%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">High market valuations \/ asset bubbles\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">24%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Weak corporate earnings\u00a0<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">21%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><b>Kenwell added<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cUS equities have now put together three incredible years for investors, and yet, risks still loom as we go into 2026. That\u2019s as the political landscape has shifted over the past 12 months, and as labor market and inflation worries weigh on the consumer. Despite this, retail investors know that long-term trends favor the bulls, many may still adjust their portfolios along the way to reduce risk or take advantage of a pullback. Diversification was a major theme in 2025 and as we saw earlier in the year, having cash ready for an opportunity proved prudent.\u201d<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><b>Investors anticipate interest rate changes for 2026<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A majority (72%) of investors anticipate changes in interest rates in 2026, with 44% expecting a decrease and 28% an increase. There\u2019s a split among those who foresee a decrease, 21% predict a slight reduction of up to 0.25%, while 20% expect a moderate decrease between 0.25% and 0.75%.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Interest rates expectations for 2026<\/b><\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rates will increase dramatically (&gt; +0.75%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rates will increase moderately (+0.25% to +0.75%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">9%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rates will increase slightly (&lt; +0.25%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">15%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rates will remain about the same<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">17%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rates will decrease slightly (&lt; -0.25%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">21%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rates will decrease moderately ( -0.25% to -0.75%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">20%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rates will decrease dramatically (&gt; -0.75%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4%<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The current interest rate decline has prompted 53% of retail investors to adjust their portfolios. Of those planning further changes, 30% intend to invest more. This is particularly relevant for younger investors with 36% of Generation Z, 46% of millennials, and 31% of Generation X planning to increase their investments, compared to 13% of baby boomers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As interest rates decline, retail investors are planning to allocate more of their investments in the next 12 months to growth sector stocks (25%), cash or short-term savings (23%), dividend-yielding stocks (19%), high-yield bonds (18%), cryptoassets (17%), real estate and property funds (17%), and commodities such as gold and oil (16%).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Bret Kenwell commented:<\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u201cWith expectations for a more dovish Fed in 2026, investors are increasingly looking at investment opportunities ahead. Investors are aiming to balance short-term uncertainty with long-term goals, with some opting for more defensive asset classes, while others are turning toward growth opportunities that could benefit from easing fiscal policy. At the same time, nearly an equal number of investors plan for no changes in their investment approach due to interest rates, showing they are more keen on sticking to their long-term plan rather than adjusting around short-term market events.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>ENDS<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Notes to editors<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>About this report<\/b><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The latest <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/investing\/retail-investor-beat\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Retail Investor Beat<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> was based on a survey of 11,000 retail investors across 13 countries and 3 continents. The following countries had 1,000 respondents: UK, US, Germany, France, Australia, Singapore, Italy and Spain. The following countries had 600 respondents: Netherlands, Denmark, Poland, Romania, and the Czech Republic.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The survey was conducted from October 30, 2025 &#8211; November 13, 2025 and carried out by research company Opinium. Retail investors were defined as self-directed or advised and had to hold at least one investment product including shares, bonds, funds, investment ISAs or equivalent. They did not need to be eToro users.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The figures and results presented in this survey are based on the responses of participants at the time the survey was conducted. They reflect responders&#8217; opinions, views and perceptions and should not be interpreted as investment advice or a guarantee of future performance. Percentages and results may not be representative of the broader population and are subject to change as market conditions and sentiment evolve.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Media contacts<\/b><b><br \/>\n<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">pr@etoro.com<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>About eToro<\/b><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/etoro.com\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">eToro<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> is the trading and investing platform that empowers you to invest, share and learn. We were founded in 2007 with the vision of a world where everyone can trade and invest in a simple and transparent way. Today we have 40 million registered users from 75 countries. We believe there is power in shared knowledge and that we can become more successful by investing together. So we\u2019ve created a collaborative investment community designed to provide you with the tools you need to grow your<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/academy\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> knowledge<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and wealth. On eToro, you can hold a range of traditional and innovative assets and choose how you invest: trade directly, invest in a portfolio, or copy other investors. You can visit our media centre <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/about\/media-center\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for our latest news.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>DISCLAIMER<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Securities trading is offered by eToro USA Securities Inc., member of <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.finra.org\/#\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" ><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FINRA<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sipc.org\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"  rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" ><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SIPC<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, a self-directed broker-dealer that does not provide recommendations or investment advice. Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Please review <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theocc.com\/getmedia\/a151a9ae-d784-4a15-bdeb-23a029f50b70\/riskstoc.pdf;\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" ><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options <\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0prior to engaging in options trading. Content, research, tools, and stock symbols on eToro\u2019s website are for educational purposes only and do not imply a recommendation or solicitation to engage in any specific investment strategy. All investments involve risk, losses may exceed the amount of principal invested, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptotrading is offered by eToro USA LLC. This entity is not a registered broker-dealer or FINRA member and your cryptocurrency holdings are not FDIC or <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sipc.org\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\"  rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" ><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SIPC<\/span><\/i><\/a> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">insured. Visit our <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/customer-service\/disclosures\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Disclosure Library<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for additional important disclosures including our<\/span><\/i> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Etoro-USA-Securities-Form-Customer-Relationship-Summary-1.7.22-FPSL-Final.docx.pdf\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Customer Relationship Summary<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/i> <a href=\"https:\/\/brokercheck.finra.org\/firm\/summary\/298361\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" ><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FINRA Brokercheck<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u00a9 2025<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>63% anticipate market rally will continue into the new year Majority (78%) of retail investors feel confident about their investments\u00a0 Political uncertainty and slowing economic growth are main threats to the rally About half (44%) of retail investors anticipate interest rates declining in the coming year A third (30%) plan to invest more as interest&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":116,"featured_media":553202,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6449],"tags":[],"asset_type":[],"class_list":["post-1189914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-press-release"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<title>Retail Investors Bullish on 2026 Market as Rates Decline, Risks of Political &amp; Economic Concerns Endure - eToro<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1189914\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Retail Investors Bullish on 2026 Market as Rates Decline, Risks of Political &amp; Economic Concerns Endure - eToro\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"63% anticipate market rally will continue into the new year Majority (78%) of retail investors feel confident about their investments\u00a0 Political uncertainty and slowing economic growth are main threats to the rally About half (44%) of retail investors anticipate interest rates declining in the coming year A third (30%) plan to invest more as interest&hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1189914\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"eToro\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/eToro\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T14:07:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Press-release-NEW-featured-1200x630-1.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@eToro\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@eToro\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Ellen DiStefano\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/latest-news\/press-release\/retail-investors-bullish-on-2026-market\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/latest-news\/press-release\/retail-investors-bullish-on-2026-market\/\"},\"headline\":\"Retail Investors Bullish on 2026 Market as Rates Decline, Risks of Political &#038; 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