{"id":1194446,"date":"2025-12-19T11:52:09","date_gmt":"2025-12-19T09:52:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/?p=1194446"},"modified":"2026-03-20T19:28:20","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T17:28:20","slug":"deep-dive-streaming-with-spotify","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/market-insights\/deep-dives\/deep-dive-streaming-with-spotify\/","title":{"rendered":"Deep Dive: Streaming With Spotify"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Spotify&#8217;s stock has been volatile over the years, but its business has been fairly steady. The Daily Breakdown dives into the details.<\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Before we dive in, let\u2019s make sure you\u2019re set to receive The Daily Breakdown each morning. <\/span><\/i><b><i>To keep getting our daily insights<\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, all you need to do is <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/login\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">log in<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to your eToro account.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<h2><b>Deep Dive<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s that time of year when Spotify gives us our year-end wrap \u2014 so we\u2019re doing one for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/spot\">Spotify<\/a> itself. As most readers know, Spotify provides audio streaming services worldwide through its Premium and Ad-Supported segments. The company, founded in 2006 and headquartered in Luxembourg, has had a remarkable run as a public business.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After more than doubling from its 2018 opening price to its 2021 high, shares collapsed in the subsequent bear market, falling more than 80% \u2014 \ud83e\udee3. But the rebound was even more dramatic: the stock rallied over 1,000% from those lows, eventually reaching an all-time high of $785 in June 2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>The Business<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-1194473\" src=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT1-1024x726.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"726\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT1-1024x726.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT1-300x213.png 300w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT1-768x544.png 768w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT1-1536x1089.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT1.png 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As the chart above shows, premium users, monthly active users, and revenue have continued to climb steadily over the years. Even during Spotify\u2019s brutal 2021\u201322 stock decline, the underlying business kept expanding. However, Spotify struggled with profitability for much of its history \u2014 from 2015 through 2023, it recorded only one year of positive operating income.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That changed in 2024, when operating profit surged, and it has grown even further in 2025. This shift to sustained profitability is a major reason the stock has seen such a powerful rebound from its lows.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Future Growth Projections<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When we look toward the future, analysts remain optimistic about Spotify\u2019s underlying growth potential. Notice how earnings growth is far outpacing revenue growth, which is a good sign for the company\u2019s margins. According to Bloomberg, analysts project the following:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Earnings Growth:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> 32.4% in 2025, 67.5% in 2026, and 27.7% in 2027<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Revenue Growth:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> 9.7% in 2025, 14.6% in 2026, and 13.9% in 2027<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/spot\/research\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analysts currently have a consensus price target<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of ~$773.50 on Spotify stock, implying more than 37% upside to today\u2019s stock price.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Want to receive these insights straight to your inbox?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a class=\"e-cta\" href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/accounts\/sign-up\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Sign up here<\/a><\/p>\n<h2><b>Diving Deeper<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now that shares have rallied more than 1,000% from their recent lows, Spotify\u2019s valuation is under understandable strain. However, the stock\u2019s ~28% decline from its summer highs has helped ease that pressure. Earlier this year, Spotify traded at more than 80x forward earnings, and even at its summer peak \u2014 when shares hit record highs \u2014 the multiple was still nearly 70x.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-1194447\" src=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT2-1024x726.png\" alt=\"The Daily Breakdown's look at SPOT's valuation\" width=\"1024\" height=\"726\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT2-1024x726.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT2-300x213.png 300w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT2-768x544.png 768w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT2-1536x1089.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/SPOT2.png 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now trading around 43x forward earnings, the stock sits just above the zone where it has recently found valuation support \u2014 roughly 40x. While this is still expensive by many investors\u2019 standards, the multiple has compressed significantly. In fact, valuation has fallen by almost 50%, even though the stock itself has corrected only about half that amount. That tells us profitability is moving in the right direction.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>Risks<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Spotify competes in a difficult landscape, going up against giants like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/aapl\">Apple<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/amzn\">Amazon<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/googl\">Alphabet\u2019s<\/a> YouTube. Competitive pressure is a constant risk \u2014 and so is valuation. If growth slows or expectations reset lower, the stock could face additional downside. Investors may also decide that a lower multiple is warranted regardless of competitive performance. Finally, Spotify has shown a tendency to decline more sharply than the broader market during pullbacks, meaning any notable S&amp;P 500 correction could hit SPOT disproportionately hard.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><b>The Bottom Line<\/b><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Spotify has been a standout performer in recent years. For that to continue, the company must uphold its strong growth trajectory and keep boosting profits. After the recent dip, some investors will still view the stock as too expensive, while others may see the valuation reset as a fresh opportunity.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Disclaimer:<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Please note that due to market volatility, some of the prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Spotify&#8217;s stock has been volatile over the years, but its business has been fairly steady. The Daily Breakdown dives into the details. Before we dive in, let\u2019s make sure you\u2019re set to receive The Daily Breakdown each morning. To keep getting our daily insights, all you need to do is log in to your eToro&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":130,"featured_media":1245682,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6819],"tags":[],"asset_type":[],"class_list":["post-1194446","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-deep-dives"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<title>The Daily Breakdown&#039;s Deep Dive: Streaming With Spotify<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Spotify&#039;s stock has been volatile over the years, but its business has been fairly steady. 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