{"id":1278141,"date":"2026-06-05T11:34:23","date_gmt":"2026-06-05T08:34:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/?p=1278141"},"modified":"2026-07-15T23:48:36","modified_gmt":"2026-07-15T20:48:36","slug":"deep-dive-can-nyse-owner-ice-heat-back-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/market-insights\/deep-dives\/deep-dive-can-nyse-owner-ice-heat-back-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Deep Dive: Can NYSE-Owner ICE Heat Back Up?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Daily Breakdown takes a closer look at Intercontinental Exchange as shares tumble lower despite steady growth expectations.<\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Interested in more Deep Dive content? Check out <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/market-insights\/deep-dives\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">our latest research<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<h2><b>Deep Dive<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Many investors may not be familiar with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/ice\">Intercontinental Exchange<\/a>, but they have likely heard of its prized possession: the New York Stock Exchange. While the NYSE is perhaps the company\u2019s most famous asset, ICE is much more than a stock exchange operator.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company also runs global exchanges, clearing houses, market-data services, fixed-income platforms and mortgage technology tools. Its reach spans futures and options tied to energy, agriculture, metals, rates, currencies and equities \u2014 including Brent crude futures, one of the world\u2019s key oil benchmarks \u2014 making ICE a major piece of financial market infrastructure.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While ICE got off to a strong start this year, it and its peers were briefly swept up in the so-called <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/the-daily-breakdown\/deep-dive-opportunities-in-software-stocks\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cSaaSpocalypse\u201d trade<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> \u2014 the concern that AI could disrupt software, payments and, apparently, even exchange businesses.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/news-and-analysis\/the-daily-breakdown\/bitcoin-struggled-in-may-but-not-all-crypto-did\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The latest selloff<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> does not appear to be driven by those same SaaS-related worries, but Intercontinental Exchange has not been alone. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/cme\">CME Group<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/cboe\">Cboe Global Markets<\/a> have also come under significant pressure. So how does that compare with the underlying business? Let\u2019s take a look.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1278142\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1278142\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1278142\" src=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.33\u202fPM-1024x444.png\" alt=\"ICE Business, for The Daily Breakdown\" width=\"1024\" height=\"444\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.33\u202fPM-1024x444.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.33\u202fPM-300x130.png 300w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.33\u202fPM-768x333.png 768w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.33\u202fPM-1536x667.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.33\u202fPM-2048x889.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1278142\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Source: Bloomberg, eToro. June 3, 2026<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3><b>Future Growth Projections<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the world of exchange operators, volatility equals volume and volume equals profit. So the more recent low-volatility environment may explain some of the weakness that has come into play for this group, even though the business remains relatively healthy. Earnings trends for ICE over the last one, three and six months have increased by 0.9%, 6.1%, and 8.5%, respectively.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to Bloomberg, analysts project the following:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Earnings Growth:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> 17% in 2026, 8.6% in 2027, and 10.3% in 2028<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Revenue Growth:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> 10.4% in 2026, 4.9% in 2027, and 5.6% in 2028<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/markets\/ice\/research\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analysts currently have a consensus price target<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of ~$199 on ICE stock, implying about 44% upside to today\u2019s stock price. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Want to receive these insights straight to your inbox?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a class=\"e-cta\" href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/accounts\/sign-up\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Sign up here<\/a><\/p>\n<h2><b>Diving Deeper \u2014 Valuation<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When we dissect the valuation over the last 10 years, we can see that the forward P\/E ratio tends to trough at around 17.5 times earnings and hit a ceiling around 25 times. Now near the lower end of that range, bulls are wondering if the stock will find valuation support.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_1278168\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1278168\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1278168\" src=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.46\u202fPM-1024x445.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"445\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.46\u202fPM-1024x445.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.46\u202fPM-300x130.png 300w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.46\u202fPM-768x333.png 768w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.46\u202fPM-1536x667.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Screenshot-2026-07-15-at-4.37.46\u202fPM-2048x889.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-1278168\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Source: Bloomberg, eToro. 6\/3\/2026<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A declining stock price is one way to bring the valuation down, but as earnings expectations are on the rise \u2014 remember, the P\/E ratio is \u201cprice\u201d divided by \u201cearnings\u201d \u2014 that helps bring the valuation down even more quickly. However, that doesn\u2019t mean that the stock will necessarily bottom just because the valuation has come down so quickly.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>Risks\u00a0<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Risks for ICE include both market-wide and company-specific factors: A calmer market backdrop could weigh on trading and hedging activity, while weaker energy, rates, credit or equity volumes could pressure its exchange and clearing businesses. ICE also faces cybersecurity and operational risks given its role in market infrastructure, and competition from other exchanges, data providers and trading platforms. More specifically, its mortgage technology business remains tied to housing and lending activity, while its fixed-income and data units could be vulnerable to pricing pressure, client budget cuts or slower demand.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><b>The Bottom Line<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ICE\u2019s pullback could be creating a more compelling setup, particularly as the stock trades near the lower end of its historical valuation range while earnings expectations continue to rise. Its diversified mix of exchanges, clearing, data, fixed income and mortgage technology gives it multiple levers for long-term growth.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">That said, this is not a risk-free dip. Lower volatility can weigh on trading volumes, mortgage technology remains tied to housing activity, and competitive, regulatory and cybersecurity risks are always part of the equation. For bulls, the question is whether the recent weakness reflects a temporary reset \u2014 or a warning that growth expectations may need to cool.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Disclaimer:<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Please note that due to market volatility, some of the prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Daily Breakdown takes a closer look at Intercontinental Exchange as shares tumble lower despite steady growth expectations. Interested in more Deep Dive content? Check out our latest research.\u00a0 Deep Dive Many investors may not be familiar with Intercontinental Exchange, but they have likely heard of its prized possession: the New York Stock Exchange. While&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":130,"featured_media":1245682,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6819],"tags":[],"asset_type":[],"class_list":["post-1278141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-deep-dives"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<title>The Daily Breakdown&#039;s Deep Dive: Can NYSE-Owner ICE Heat Back Up?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Daily Breakdown takes a closer look at Intercontinental Exchange as shares tumble lower despite steady growth expectations.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/en-us\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1278141\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta 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