$WMT (Walmart Inc.) DCF VALUATION MODEL
Today, I took some time to run a full intrinsic value model on Walmart. Outcome: the market seems to be pricing in a growth story that doesn't actually show up in the cash flows. It’s a fascinating insight into how the market can sometimes be far from efficient.
KEY... Näytä enemmän Käännä
Portfolio update – August 2026
AtlasCapital Aug +1.28%
SP500 Aug +2.72%
AltasCapital YTD +1.1%
SP500 YTD +13.1%
I made my portfolio defensive on purpose. By the end of Trump's term in January 2029 we should have another bear market. Therefore, I am focused on accumulating cash equivalents, acknowledging... Näytä enemmän Käännä
$TSLA (Tesla Motors, Inc.) DCF VALUATION MODEL
People joke Elon Musk is an alien.
39% Tesla 10Y CAGR makes the case, and this is the same company that came within $ 500K of running out of cash in 2008.
Stock is down 20% YTD, but valuation still looks stretched.
So what is Tesla actually worth today... Näytä enemmän Käännä
$STZ (Constellation Brands Inc) DCF VALUATION MODEL
Constellation Brands is down near 50%, its deepest drawdown since the Great Recession. In a market where genuine bargains are increasingly hard to find, this valuation is starting to look almost too cheap to ignore.
KEY ASSUMPTIONS:
Explicit long-term... Näytä enemmän Käännä
𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝘂𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲 – 𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
AltasCapital July 0.21%
SP500 July - flat
AltasCapital YTD -0.2%
SP500 YTD 10.1%
In July, I continued portfolio de-risking by disposing high-beta stocks. Further disposals are expected within the next few months.
I also recently decided to change... Näytä enemmän Käännä
Important chart to watch.
This graph shows forward (implied) market return based on Shiller PE (CAPE).
Green line - expected return; blue line - actual realised returns.
This indicator is forward-looking by 8 years. To find out what was expected return 8 years ago we need to look at green line value... Näytä enemmän Käännä
Portfolio update – June 2026
AtlasCapital June -3.5%
SP500 June -0.95%
AltasCapital YTD -0.43%
SP500 YTD 10.2%
My portfolio performance YTD isn't impressive, as I'm essentially flat. However, given my long-term perspective, this doesn't bother me at all.
I am not buying a lot currently.... Näytä enemmän Käännä
$V (Visa)
DCF valuation shows discount.
If you've ever tapped your card at a coffee shop, bought something online in another country, or paid for a streaming subscription, there's a very good chance Visa took a small slice of that transaction - quietly, invisibly, and almost certainly without... Näytä enemmän Käännä
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