𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 & 𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: 𝗙𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗦𝗵𝗼𝗰𝗸 𝘁𝗼 𝗥𝗲𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗶𝗻𝗴
𝗧𝗟;𝗗𝗥 / 𝗦𝘂𝗺𝗺𝗮𝗿𝘆
We’ve moved from the initial shock phase of the Iran conflict into a phase where markets are starting to price the real economic impact. Oil and gas remain elevated, pushing markets... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 & 𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: 𝗘𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗴𝘆 𝗦𝗵𝗼𝗰𝗸 𝗕𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗠𝗶𝘀𝗽𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲𝗱
TLDR: Markets are treating the Gulf oil crisis as temporary, but I believe its longer-term effects, particularly on inflation, supply chains, and food, are being underestimated. I’ve adjusted portfolio... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲
TLDR: Oil disruption and early private credit market stress are increasing market volatility. I’ve asjusted exposure, increased cash to ~25%, and positioned for higher oil prices.
𝙀𝙣𝙚𝙧𝙜𝙮 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙘𝙠
The disruption to oil flows through the Strait... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: 𝗢𝗶𝗹 𝗦𝗵𝗼𝗰𝗸 𝗖𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗧𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗢𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝘂𝗻𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀
Energy markets opened the week with sharp volatility as the war between the United States / Israel and Iran escalated.
Over the weekend Donald Trump called for Iran’s... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗜𝗿𝗮𝗻 𝗪𝗮𝗿 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: 𝗘𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗴𝘆 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗸, 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻, 𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲
𝙏𝙇;𝘿𝙍 / 𝙎𝙪𝙢𝙢𝙖𝙧𝙮
The Iran war is likely to last longer than many initially expected. Energy risk- particularly around the Strait of Hormuz has become the key market variable.... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗜𝗿𝗮𝗻 𝗪𝗮𝗿: 𝗩𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗙𝗼𝗰𝘂𝘀𝗲𝗱
Markets are opening lower as oil rises on disruption risk around the Strait of Hormuz. Defence and commodities are firmer, while higher-risk assets are under pressure. The key question is whether this is a short shock or something... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗠𝗶𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗔𝗰𝗵𝗶𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗱: 𝟭𝟬,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗣𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗖𝗼𝗽𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗠𝘆 𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼
The portfolio has now passed 𝟭𝟬,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗰𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗲𝗿𝘀, with 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 $𝟮𝟮 𝗺𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝘂𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗰𝗼𝗽𝘆.
Since the start of 2023, the portfolio is up 𝟭𝟭𝟯% 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗼𝘁𝗮𝗹,... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲:
𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗕𝗲𝗲𝗻 𝗛𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴
𝗧𝗟;𝗗𝗥
We had another week of ups and downs, with tech stocks dropping while US inflation was lower than expected.
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗕𝗶𝗴𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗣𝗶𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲
Big tech companies such as $MSFT (Microsoft) and $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc) saw... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 & 𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲
It’s been one of those weeks where most sectors have pulled back sharply. Often weakness in one area is offset by strength in another - that hasn’t been the case this time for most sectors.
Weeks like this aren’t easy, especially for newer copiers,... Afficher plus Traduction
𝗦𝗜𝗟𝗩𝗘𝗥
-𝙒𝙝𝙮 𝙄 𝙀𝙭𝙞𝙩𝙚𝙙 𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙝 𝘽𝙞𝙜 𝙋𝙧𝙤𝙛𝙞𝙩𝙨
I’ve now fully exited silver, closing the remaining position today.
Across multiple exits, the trade delivered an 𝗮𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗻 𝗼𝗳 𝟭𝟰𝟰% (𝟮.𝟰𝟰×).
Silver had an exceptional run, peaking near $117, and over the... Afficher plus Traduction
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Mon Mar 30 2026 19:38:26 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)