{"id":1209230,"date":"2026-01-19T12:57:15","date_gmt":"2026-01-19T10:57:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/?p=1209230"},"modified":"2026-01-19T12:57:54","modified_gmt":"2026-01-19T10:57:54","slug":"en-ce-debut-dannee-les-bourses-europeennes-surperforment-ce-scenario-est-il-durable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.etoro.com\/fr\/news-and-analysis\/market-insights\/en-ce-debut-dannee-les-bourses-europeennes-surperforment-ce-scenario-est-il-durable\/","title":{"rendered":"En ce d\u00e9but d\u2019ann\u00e9e, les Bourses europ\u00e9ennes surperforment, ce sc\u00e9nario est-il durable ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Les march\u00e9s boursiers europ\u00e9ens d\u00e9marrent l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2026 sur une note particuli\u00e8rement solide. Le <\/span>DAX 40<\/span><\/a> allemand, l\u2019<\/span>IBEX 35<\/span><\/a> espagnol et m\u00eame le <\/span>CAC 40<\/span><\/a> fran\u00e7ais ont inscrit de nouveaux records en Bourse, le CAC atteignant pour la premi\u00e8re fois de son histoire, les 8400 points ce matin.<\/span> \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Les indices europ\u00e9ens sont port\u00e9s par un trio sectoriel identifi\u00e9, les valeurs industrielles, la d\u00e9fense et les banques. Une configuration qui tranche nettement avec Wall Street, plus h\u00e9sitante, et qui pose une question centrale pour les investisseurs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cette surperformance europ\u00e9enne peut-elle durer, alors que l\u2019histoire montre que les \u00c9tats-Unis finissent presque toujours par reprendre l\u2019avantage ?<\/b><\/p>\n

Ce bon d\u00e9but d\u2019ann\u00e9e ne doit rien au hasard. Il s\u2019inscrit dans un contexte macro et sectoriel particuli\u00e8rement favorable \u00e0 l\u2019Europe. D\u2019abord, le cycle des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat reste porteur pour les banques europ\u00e9ennes, dont la rentabilit\u00e9 s\u2019est nettement redress\u00e9e apr\u00e8s une d\u00e9cennie de taux n\u00e9gatifs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ensuite, les industriels b\u00e9n\u00e9ficient de plusieurs moteurs simultan\u00e9s : r\u00e9armement du continent, investissements massifs dans les infrastructures, transition \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique et relocalisation de certaines cha\u00eenes de valeur.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Enfin, le secteur de la d\u00e9fense profite d\u2019une visibilit\u00e9 budg\u00e9taire in\u00e9dite, avec des programmes \u00e9tal\u00e9s sur plusieurs ann\u00e9es.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00c0 cela s\u2019ajoute le facteur cl\u00e9 des valorisations. Malgr\u00e9 la hausse r\u00e9cente, les actions europ\u00e9ennes restent globalement moins ch\u00e8res que leurs homologues am\u00e9ricaines. Par exemple, <\/span>le Ratio Cours\/B\u00e9n\u00e9fice (PER) pr\u00e9visionnel pour 2026 du CAC 40 se maintient \u00e0 un niveau de 16,3 fois, ce qui est bien inf\u00e9rieur au multiple de 28 fois atteint en 2000, au pic de la bulle Internet. M\u00eame si le CAC 40 atteignait 9 000 points, le PER resterait mod\u00e9r\u00e9 \u00e0 17,8 fois. A contrario, le Nasdaq 100 s\u2019\u00e9change \u00e0 plus de 22 fois les b\u00e9n\u00e9fices, seuil bien plus \u00e9lev\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Autrement dit, le march\u00e9 europ\u00e9en dispose encore d\u2019un certain \u00ab coussin \u00bb en cas de d\u00e9ception macro\u00e9conomique, l\u00e0 o\u00f9 Wall Street, tr\u00e8s concentr\u00e9e sur quelques g\u00e9ants technologiques, est beaucoup plus sensible au moindre faux pas sur les r\u00e9sultats ou sur les perspectives.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pour autant, il serait imprudent d\u2019enterrer trop vite Wall Street. L\u2019histoire des march\u00e9s montre que les phases de surperformance europ\u00e9enne existent, mais qu\u2019elles sont rarement durables. Les \u00c9tats-Unis conservent des avantages d\u00e9cisifs comme une capacit\u00e9 d\u2019innovation largement sup\u00e9rieure, notamment dans la technologie et l\u2019intelligence artificielle, une croissance b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaire plus dynamique, et une profondeur de march\u00e9 qui attire naturellement les flux internationaux d\u00e8s que la visibilit\u00e9 s\u2019am\u00e9liore ou que la volatilit\u00e9 augmente.<\/span><\/p>\n

Le v\u00e9ritable enjeu pour 2026 est donc celui du timing. Tant que les taux restent relativement \u00e9lev\u00e9s, que la rotation sectorielle se poursuit et que les investissements publics europ\u00e9ens se mat\u00e9rialisent concr\u00e8tement, l\u2019Europe pourrait conserver un leadership relatif.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

En revanche, un retour marqu\u00e9 de la croissance am\u00e9ricaine, une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration tangible des profits li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019IA ou un cycle de baisse des taux plus agressif de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale pourraient rapidement redonner l\u2019avantage \u00e0 Wall Street.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Antoine Fraysse-Soulier est responsable de l\u2019analyse des March\u00e9s chez eToro. Ayant plus de quinze ans d\u2019exp\u00e9rience en finance de march\u00e9 (Brokers, Asset Managers), il nous a rejoint en 2019 pour partager sa connaissance et son exp\u00e9rience \u00e0 toute la communaut\u00e9 eToro.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

N\u2019h\u00e9sitez pas \u00e0 le suivre <\/span><\/i>sur X<\/span><\/i><\/a>\u00a0<\/span>!<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les march\u00e9s boursiers europ\u00e9ens d\u00e9marrent l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2026 sur une note particuli\u00e8rement solide. Le DAX 40 allemand, l\u2019IBEX 35 espagnol et m\u00eame le CAC 40 fran\u00e7ais ont inscrit de nouveaux records en Bourse, le CAC atteignant pour la premi\u00e8re fois de son histoire, les 8400 points ce matin. \u00a0 Les indices europ\u00e9ens sont port\u00e9s par un…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":127,"featured_media":1207232,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1312],"tags":[],"asset_type":[],"class_list":["post-1209230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-insights"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"Bourses europ\u00e9ennes 2026 : l\u2019Europe peut-elle surperformer Wall Street ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les march\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens encha\u00eenent les records en 2026, port\u00e9s par l\u2019industrie, la d\u00e9fense et les banques. 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