Yuri Zemtsov
Yuri Zemtsov @balticseal

Ytelse
Alle

-10.34%2026
2026
6.79%2025
2025
4.32%2024
2024
14.29%2023
2023
-28.34%2022
2022
10.99%2021
2021
44.00%2020
2020
6.87%2019
2019
44.0%0%-44.0%
Diskusjon
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
6d
The ceasefire and reopening of the strait reduce immediate tensions, but the risk of negotiations breaking down remains. The base case assumes the conflict will be resolved, as it is economically rational for both sides. Market reaction is predictable: a rebound in risk assets and a decline in oil,... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
9d
The U.S. market is trading headlines, not valuations. As of April 6, indexes remain fragile - geopolitics is keeping oil, inflation expectations, and overall risk sentiment under pressure. After the March selloff, the market is trying to stabilize, but for now this looks more like a reaction to headlines... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
27d
The stock market has entered a phase where the old playbook — “slowing growth = rate cuts soon = stocks up” — no longer works. The economy is losing momentum, but inflation remains sticky. That creates a stagflationary backdrop: weak growth, elevated prices, and higher-for-longer rates. Jerome Powell’s... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
1mnd
The global market selloff and rising geopolitical tension around Iran have again increased pressure on risk assets. Yet the reaction of the crypto market has been unexpectedly calm: Bitcoin only dipped briefly and then stabilized. If the situation were truly as fragile as feared, crypto — the most speculative... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
2mnd
U.S. labor market data came in stronger than expected, further reducing recession concerns and supporting risk assets. At the same time, market expectations for the Fed’s policy rate remain largely unchanged — investors still anticipate rates to stay at current levels at least until June. Despite softer... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
2mnd
The CNN Fear & Greed Index remains in the “moderate fear” zone, even though the S&P 500 has pulled back by less than 3% from its all-time high. In other words, this hardly qualifies as a correction yet. It appears the market has not fully priced in concerns related to the appointment of a new Fed chair,... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
3mnd
The dollar slid to its lowest level since early 2022 after Donald Trump signaled that he’s comfortable with the recent weakening of the U.S. currency. The rally in metals has intensified, with gold and silver once again leading the charge; oil is also holding up well (Iran-related risks). Today, the... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
3mnd
Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium have surged sharply since the start of the year, pushing to fresh highs. Despite the many explanations, the current rally looks largely speculative — prices have moved far away from equilibrium, even though momentum could still carry it higher. The risk of a sharp... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
3mnd
So far, the new year has brought no major moves in the market, except for the steady rally in precious metals. Logically, they should eventually be followed by a re-rating of base metals and the broader commodity complex, but that’s likely a story for the second half of the year. The market remains largely... Vis flere Oversett
Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
4mnd
Bureau of Economic Analysis has finally released U.S. GDP data for Q3. The economy grew by 1.1% q/q, while the annual growth rate edged up to 2.3% y/y. Current GDP estimates point to fairly resilient domestic demand: investment activity remains weak, the contribution of government spending has increased,... Vis flere Oversett

Om Yuri Zemtsov
Estland
Strategi: Momentum

Quarterly Dual Momentum strategy. My portfolio is tailored for long-term investors.
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