Joao Miguel Silva Ferreira @ghostyver: "𝙄𝙣𝙫𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙨, Big themes today: AI hype..."

Switzerland

𝙄𝙣𝙫𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙨, Big themes today: AI hype and IPO activity vs chip pain and credit worries. Nvidia has board noise and chip sales concerns, Intel plunged 17% after manufacturing issues, Databricks raised $1.8B debt ahead of IPO, and private credit risk is growing (from $3.4T in 2025 to an estimated $4.9T by 2029). Gold sits at record highs while a massive winter storm disrupts travel for ~4,000 canceled flights and could hit consumer spending. 𝙈𝙖𝙧𝙠𝙚𝙩 𝙨𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙞𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩 : Neutral, leaning cautious. There are bull pockets in AI, IPOs and defense, but big single-stock shocks (Intel down 17%) and systemic risks in private credit and geopolitics keep upside contained. 𝟯 𝙊𝙥𝙥𝙤𝙧𝙩𝙪𝙣𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙚𝙨 : 1) AI / Big Tech leaders - momentum and M&A/IPO flow (Databricks $1.8B debt prep; ongoing Davos AI focus). 2) Select IPOs and defense plays - CSG jumped ~31% on debut, shows appetite for growth and defense names. 3) Gold and inflation hedges - gold at all-time highs, useful as protection if volatility rises. 𝟯 𝙧𝙞𝙨𝙠𝙨 𝙤𝙧 𝙬𝙖𝙧𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙨𝙞𝙜𝙣𝙨 : 1) Semiconductor trouble - Intel -17% on manufacturing issues and Nvidia faces chip-sales headwinds; tech supply chain risk. 2) Private credit bubble risk - market expanding from $3.4T to ~$4.9T by 2029 increases systemic leverage vulnerability. 3) Regulatory and geopolitical shocks - SEC probe into Adani, Greenland rare-earth moves, crypto bill progress and winter storm disruptions could dent earnings/consumption. 𝙄𝙢𝙥𝙤𝙧𝙩𝙖𝙣𝙩 𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙤𝙢𝙞𝙘 𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙣𝙩(𝙨) 𝙩𝙤 𝙬𝙖𝙩𝙘𝙝 𝙩𝙤𝙙𝙖𝙮 : - No major US macro releases are highlighted in this feed for today (24 Jan 2026). Focus on market-moving headlines instead: Nvidia board change and CEO China visit chatter, Intel earnings reaction selling, Databricks IPO prep, and CSG IPO momentum. - Keep an eye on Fed commentary this week - markets are pricing policy risk into tech and rates. - Weather and travel disruption from the winter storm - watch airline names, consumer services and insurance flows. 👉 𝙒𝙝𝙖𝙩 𝙄’𝙙 𝙙𝙤 𝙞𝙛 𝙄 𝙬𝙚𝙧𝙚 𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙡𝙡𝙤𝙘𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙤𝙙𝙖𝙮: - Trim some cyclicals and high-risk chip exposure after Intel’s hit; keep a watchlist for oversold quality names. - Add or maintain high-conviction AI leaders and selective IPO/defense exposure sized small - momentum exists but expect volatility. - Raise cash slightly and add gold or cash-equivalents as hedge. Size private-credit or credit-sensitive positions conservatively until more clarity on defaults/liquidity. 👉 𝘾𝙤𝙥𝙮 𝙢𝙮 𝙥𝙤𝙧𝙩𝙛𝙤𝙡𝙞𝙤 𝙩𝙤𝙙𝙖𝙮 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙥𝙤𝙨𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣 𝙮𝙤𝙪𝙧𝙨𝙚𝙡𝙛 🚀 Let’s grow and win together, Joao Ferreira $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $BTC $ETH $GOLD

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.