Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens @AquariusSurvive

Performance
All

16.00%2026
2026
53.77%2025
2025
3.22%2024
2024
-14.53%2023
2023
2.12%2022
2022
53.8%0%-53.8%
Discussions
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
7d
*Houthi Red Sea closure* The Houthis have announced they will close the Red Sea to Israeli-linked shipping. This is largely symbolic since Israel imports most of what it needs via Mediterranean ports. However....this will likely force insurers to raise premiums on shipping and cautious shippers may... Show More
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
7d
When a war breaks out, people say: “It won’t last, it’s too foolish.” And doubtless a war is certainly too foolish, but that doesn’t stop it from lasting. Foolishness always insists, we’d see it if we didn’t always think about ourselves. --Camus, The Plague Beguiled as we are by 45 years of peace,low... Show More
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
1mo
Edited
Good morning everyone! Time for an update on the portfolio, and a sideways glance at what is going on in the market. I have been purposefully quiet on here for the last few weeks. Why? When markets are trading in such a violent, volatile way, it pays investors to take a step back and wait for the dust... Show More
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
2mo
Weekend Markets
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
2mo
WEEKEND MARKET UPDATE Good afternoon everyone. Below is the latest weekend pricing - notable that the failure of the negotiations has seen a 7% spike in Oil, and -1/5% on US markets. Trump announcing the US may has begun blocking the Straits too means a pro-risk TACO position is harder to maintain.... Show More
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
2mo
Edited
QUARTERLY REVIEW Good morning everyone. Here's a brief rundown of what happened in Q1, and some perspective on where risks lie and opportunity is offered in global markets. Performance The portfolio was up 21.92% versus the S&P500 performance of -4.6%, giving outperformance versus the benchmark... Show More
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
3mo
WEEKEND MARKETS Your weekend update...oil +2.5% is notable, it has traded in a range of 2%-3.5% higher since Saturday morning.
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
3mo
Edited
Diversification This is in theory a great way to protect against catastrophic loss in any portfolio, but it needs to be done right - in fact, it needs to be done DIFFERENTLY to how it has been done for the last 4 decades. How so? Well, for the last four decades, diversification meant putting 40% of... Show More
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
3mo
"Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth." Mike Tyson Sometimes trading the market feels like a round in the ring with Mike Tyson. This year we have significant underperformance of tech, no safety in government bonds, a seemingly counterintuitive slump in precious metals and... Show More
Timothy Stevens
Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
3mo
Edited
Crash Risk This feels pretty high to me right now. This doesn't mean I'm certain it happens, but it does mean that portfolios need to be adjusted to reflect asymmetrical downside risk. Why is the risk higher? Several reasons : 1) Complacency. The market trades at levels consistent with where... Show More

About Timothy Stevens
United Kingdom
Strategy: Multi-Strategy

26+ yrs equities pro | No leverage/crypto | Low-risk stable growth | Transparent
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