Yuri Zemtsov
Yuri Zemtsov @balticseal

Performance
All

-8.86%2026
2026
6.79%2025
2025
4.32%2024
2024
14.29%2023
2023
-28.34%2022
2022
10.99%2021
2021
44.00%2020
2020
6.87%2019
2019
44.0%0%-44.0%
Discussions
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
4d
The global market selloff and rising geopolitical tension around Iran have again increased pressure on risk assets. Yet the reaction of the crypto market has been unexpectedly calm: Bitcoin only dipped briefly and then stabilized. If the situation were truly as fragile as feared, crypto — the most speculative... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
25d
U.S. labor market data came in stronger than expected, further reducing recession concerns and supporting risk assets. At the same time, market expectations for the Fed’s policy rate remain largely unchanged — investors still anticipate rates to stay at current levels at least until June. Despite softer... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
1mo
The CNN Fear & Greed Index remains in the “moderate fear” zone, even though the S&P 500 has pulled back by less than 3% from its all-time high. In other words, this hardly qualifies as a correction yet. It appears the market has not fully priced in concerns related to the appointment of a new Fed chair,... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
1mo
The dollar slid to its lowest level since early 2022 after Donald Trump signaled that he’s comfortable with the recent weakening of the U.S. currency. The rally in metals has intensified, with gold and silver once again leading the charge; oil is also holding up well (Iran-related risks). Today, the... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
2m
Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium have surged sharply since the start of the year, pushing to fresh highs. Despite the many explanations, the current rally looks largely speculative — prices have moved far away from equilibrium, even though momentum could still carry it higher. The risk of a sharp... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
2m
So far, the new year has brought no major moves in the market, except for the steady rally in precious metals. Logically, they should eventually be followed by a re-rating of base metals and the broader commodity complex, but that’s likely a story for the second half of the year. The market remains largely... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
3m
Bureau of Economic Analysis has finally released U.S. GDP data for Q3. The economy grew by 1.1% q/q, while the annual growth rate edged up to 2.3% y/y. Current GDP estimates point to fairly resilient domestic demand: investment activity remains weak, the contribution of government spending has increased,... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
3m
Last week, the Fed began buying US Treasury bonds, de jure acknowledging what had been happening de facto over the past few months via the repo mechanism: the money printer is back on. For now, the Fed is moving cautiously, announcing monthly purchases of Treasury bills (T-Bills - short-term, up to 1... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
3m
As of December 1, the S&P 500 is holding near all-time highs: after a strong November and a powerful push during Thanksgiving week, the medium-term trend remains bullish. At the same time, the backdrop is not entirely risk-free: it’s unclear how overheated the tech sector is, bond yields are creeping... Show More
Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
4m
Since the start of the week, the equity market has been showing solid risk-on sentiment, supported by upbeat comments from Fed officials. The December FOMC meeting is the next key milestone, with investors leaning on economic data that may turn out softer than expected—partly due to the potential government... Show More

About Yuri Zemtsov
Estonia
Strategy: Momentum

Quarterly Dual Momentum strategy. My portfolio is tailored for long-term investors.
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