Yuri Zemtsov @balticseal

Yuri Zemtsov@balticseal

Performance
0% Return
All

2025

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

44.0%0%-44.0%

Return YTD 2.24%

Return 2Y 21.89%

Avg. Risk Score (last 7D)

Profitable Weeks 50.91%

@balticseal

Estonia

8 days ago

The trade war is just gaining momentum and is effectively turning into a standoff between the USA and China. Both sides are digging in, which is accelerating the fragmentation of the global economy. Major players are starting to build their own economic zones, cutting themselves off from the old model... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

14 days ago

The White House has released the full list of countries that will be subject to the new tariffs — 183 nations in total. Tariffs are not just a tool to tackle the trade deficit or boost U.S. government revenues. They also act as a form of taxation on international trade. Crucially, they function as a... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

28 days ago

The Fed has predictably kept the interest rate unchanged at 4.25-4.5%. This largely aligns with expectations. While not supporting hopes for three rate cuts this year, the Fed is opting for a wait-and-see approach rather than making any drastic moves. However, internal disagreements are growing as uncertainty... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

about a month ago

The correction in US indices continues, with the decline from this year's peak already reaching around 10%. Market volatility remains high, and recent days have been marked by downward revisions in investment banks' market outlooks for the US This week, Goldman Sachs followed Citigroup and HSBC... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

about a month ago

Today, labor market data will be released. If the data comes out weak, the market will start pricing in more aggressive rate cuts, which is highly positive for medium-term capital returns. Additionally, if some tariffs are canceled or at least postponed, it could lead to strong optimism and a sharp rally... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

2 months ago

On Friday, February 21, the US market suffered its worst trading session of 2025, rattled by weaker-than-expected economic data and a sharp rise in long-term consumer inflation expectations, which hit their highest level since 1995. The University of Michigan’s final consumer sentiment reading for February... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

2 months ago

No sooner had Trump moved into the White House than the inflationary impulse in the US kicked into high gear. Inflation is heating up, forming a trend, but it's unclear whether this trend will have legs. That said, the US market shrugged off the inflation data as if nothing happened. And that’s a... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

2 months ago

Futures on indices and cryptocurrencies are falling. Treasury futures are rising. The dollar is strengthening. Gold remains unchanged. The reason is clear - the beginning of trade wars. Volatility is returning to global markets! A tariff war has begun, accelerating the spiral of trade costs, and global... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

3 months ago

Edited

The most crucial week for the markets this quarter has arrived. This week, key rate decisions will be announced by the Fed, ECB, and Bank of Canada, alongside the release of US GDP and PCE data. However, the main event is today's market sell-off. Investors are now pricing in the prospects of AI... Show More

@balticseal

Estonia

3 months ago

The market no longer expects two Fed rate cuts in 2025, although it still holds out hope for one in June. The U.S. labor market has left no room for a Fed rate cut in January. In December, the economy added 256,000 jobs, with a six-month average of 165,000 jobs, slightly above neutral levels. In addition... Show More