Bernardus Smith
Bernardus Smith @BernardusJS

Performance
All

2.26%2026
2026
13.72%2025
2025
17.89%2024
2024
30.51%2023
2023
-13.20%2022
2022
-2.16%2021
2021
42.72%2020
2020
42.7%0%-42.7%
Discussions
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
28d
๐—จ๐—ฆโ€“๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜: ๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐——๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ I know we said we were gonna solve this during COVID and make everything a Tesla but unfortunately this matters because oil still apparently matters. If US-Iran escalates and the Strait of Hormuz stays disrupted,... Show More
< 1 month , minimal impact
100.00%
1-3m, volatility
100.00%
3-6m, market stress
100.00%
6m+, major downturn
100.00%
9 Votes
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
2m
๐—œ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น? Iโ€™m genuinely curious how people think about this. My answer is no and here's why: In 2023, some of the best resourced funds in the world were short $NVDA. They had the models, the analysts, the conviction. The valuation looked stretched. The thesis... Show More
Yes, regularly
100.00%
Only high conviction
100.00%
No, not worth it
100.00%
5 Votes
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
3m
$SPX500 / $SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) ๐…๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ก๐จ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ค๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐ค ๐ข๐ง ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐›๐š๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ Over long periods, the S&P 500 has been remarkably consistent. Since 1928, total returns look roughly like this: - 9.9% nominal annualised - 6.7% after inflation -... Show More
Strong +20% or more
100.00%
Moderate +5% to +20%
100.00%
Flat -5% to +5%
100.00%
Negative โˆ’10% or worse
100.00%
17 Votes
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
4m
๐”๐๐๐Ž๐๐”๐‹๐€๐‘ ๐Ž๐๐ˆ๐๐ˆ๐Ž๐: ๐ƒ๐€๐˜ ๐“๐‘๐€๐ƒ๐ˆ๐๐† ๐…๐„๐„๐‹๐’ ๐’๐Œ๐€๐‘๐“ ๐”๐๐“๐ˆ๐‹ ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐Œ๐€๐“๐‡ ๐’๐‡๐Ž๐–๐’ ๐”๐ Letโ€™s be honest for a moment. If you shorten the time horizon enough, market outcomes become dominated by randomness. That doesnโ€™t mean skill doesnโ€™t exist. It means skill only... Show More
Day trading is mostly luck.
100.00%
Day trading is a real skill.
100.00%
139 Votes
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
5m
๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ผ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ: ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—š๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—›๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ (๐—”๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—›๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜) Most people think $NVO (Novo-Nordisk A/S SPONS ADR) crashed this year because Wegovy/Ozempic went generic. Thatโ€™s wrong. In the U.S., semaglutide is STILL patent-protected... Show More
Back to $65 - $75
100.00%
Up to $55 - $65
100.00%
Stays at $45 - $55
100.00%
Not sure
100.00%
83 Votes
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
6m
โš ๏ธ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด - ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ดโ€™๐˜€ ๐—ข๐—ณ๐—ณ Stock prices are hitting new highs. AI headlines sound unstoppable. But when you follow the money, the story doesnโ€™t line up. 1๏ธโƒฃ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—”๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐—”๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ผ๐—บ๐˜† โ€ข The Buffett Indicator... Show More
Stocks crash hard
100.00%
Markets keep rising
100.00%
Everything holds steady
100.00%
197 Votes
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
7m
๐ŸŒ ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜ ๐—ฌ๐—˜๐—”๐—ฅ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฑ: ๐—”๐—œ ๐—•๐—˜๐—–๐—ข๐— ๐—˜๐—ฆ ๐—ฆ๐—จ๐—ฃ๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—œ๐—ก๐—ง๐—˜๐—Ÿ๐—Ÿ๐—œ๐—š๐—˜๐—ก๐—ง Itโ€™s 10 years from now. AI isnโ€™t just โ€œsmartโ€. Itโ€™s smarter than every human combined. This is called superintelligence. ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป? - ๐—•๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ (๐—จ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ฎ): No jobs. No limits. AI gives... Show More
Humans live like kings.
100.00%
No purpose, people collapse.
100.00%
Extinction - AI wipes us out.
100.00%
Something nobody sees coming.
100.00%
23 Votes
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
8m
๐—š๐—ข๐—ข๐—š๐—Ÿ๐—˜โ€™๐—ฆ ๐——๐—ข๐— ๐— ๐—ข๐—ก๐—ข๐—ฃ๐—ข๐—Ÿ๐—ฌ ๐—ฅ๐—จ๐—Ÿ๐—œ๐—ก๐—š - ๐—ช๐—›๐—ฌ ๐—œโ€™๐—ฉ๐—˜ ๐—˜๐—ซ๐—œ๐—ง๐—˜๐—— ๐— ๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—ง ๐—ข๐—™ ๐—ข๐—จ๐—ฅ ๐—ฃ๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—œ๐—ง๐—œ๐—ข๐—ก The U.S. Department of Justice has now won ๐˜๐˜„๐—ผ major antitrust cases against $GOOG (Alphabet): - ๐—”๐˜‚๐—ด ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ: Search monopoly ruling. - ๐—”๐—ฝ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ: Ad tech monopoly... Show More
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GOOG
Alphabet
339.40
6.63 (1.99%)
Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
9m
๐ˆ๐ฌ ๐‚๐จ๐ฉ๐ฒ ๐“๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐‚๐ก๐ž๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ? ๐€๐ง ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซโ€™๐ฌ ๐‡๐จ๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐“๐š๐ค๐ž ๐ˆ๐ญโ€™๐ฌ ๐‹๐ข๐ค๐ž ๐‡๐š๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐€๐œ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐–๐จ๐ซ๐ฅ๐โ€™๐ฌ ๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ Imagine if you could look over Warren Buffettโ€™s shoulder and copy his every move. Thatโ€™s exactly what copy trading... Show More

About Bernardus Smith
Luxembourg
Strategy: Value

Successful long-term investor. High-quality companies with strong fundamentals.
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