I rarely sell in May. This year I did.
My usual rhythm is to step back in August and return after September — historically my weakest month, consistently, year over year. This year I moved that window forward and I'm staying out until end of September.
The reasons go beyond seasonal patterns. Ukraine... Show More
This year, I'm doing something I rarely do: selling in May and staying out until end of September.
My usual pattern is to step back in August and return in early October. September has consistently been my weakest month — not once or twice, but year over year. The data is clear enough that I respect... Show More
**Walking Away Early This Year 📊**
There's a well-known market adage: "Sell in May and go away." I've never been a strict follower. Markets don't run on calendar rules, and staying invested through volatility is usually the right call.
But this year, I'm making an exception.
My... Show More
📊 **Still Cautious**
A few weeks ago, I wrote about my concerns regarding the growing tensions in the Middle East and the potential impact on global energy markets. My view hasn't changed.
Despite my long-term philosophy of remaining invested, I continue to believe that markets may be underestimating... Show More
📉 Markets, Energy Risk, and a Question of Complacency
I’ve always been clear about one principle: stay invested, stay disciplined, and avoid reacting emotionally to headlines. That hasn’t changed.
But I’ll be honest — the current geopolitical situation in the Middle East is a clear red flag in my view,... Show More
📊 Positioned in a World Under Tension
I’m still running the portfolio allocation I last shared. No sudden shifts. No emotional reactions. Just disciplined positioning in a world that feels increasingly unstable.
The turmoil in the Middle East — particularly the ongoing tensions between Iran, the US,... Show More
📉 *Volatility, AI, and the Question of Software Value*
Market volatility isn’t only about geopolitics anymore. A major part of today’s uncertainty comes from a rapid technological shift — and AI sits right at the center of it.
The pace of AI development is extraordinary. The threshold to build custom... Show More
*📊 Portfolio Rebalanced — Pressure Creates Opportunity*
I’ve just completed a new portfolio rebalancing. Not a cosmetic tweak, but a structural one — based on updated data, a cleaner asset universe, and a clearer view of where pressure is building globally.
There’s no denying it: geopolitical tension... Show More
📊 December Flat — A Year of Two Halves
December ended essentially flat. No rebound, no collapse — just the market pausing. Looking at the full year, the picture is clear: it started strong, but the gains were progressively wiped out over the last three months.
This didn’t happen in isolation. The... Show More
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