Adrian von Aesch
Adrian von Aesch@empiricist

Performance
All

6.71%2025
2025
11.96%2024
2024
12.31%2023
2023
-19.88%2022
2022
13.49%2021
2021
40.40%2020
2020
36.20%2019
2019
-18.82%2018
2018
14.09%2017
2017
40.4%0%-40.4%
Top
empiricist
Switzerland
12 days ago
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ My portfolio is back in the green after a brief dip last month. We are at 4.15% YTD. The S&P500 staged a steep recovery after Trumpโ€™s tariff pause but is still in the red with -3.3%. Europe fared much better with the MSCI-Europe showing green at 5.6%. If we needed... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
25 days ago
๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—บ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ A quick update after Trump attacked Jay Powell and spooked the market. My portfolio has dipped slightly into the red for this year, sitting just around -2%. This still compares favourably with the S&P 500, which is down about -12% YTD. Nevertheless,... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
about a month ago
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ At the time of writing my portfolio is up 2% YTD despite โ€œTarrif manโ€ Donald Trump. However, his latest round of tariffs, against the whole world, will throw a new spanner into the works. Share markets hate nothing more than uncertainty. Trump may soften his stance... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
2 months ago
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ First, a warm welcome to new copiers and followers. February was a difficult month, mainly for the US. Europe continued to outperform the US in February as it did in January. As the chart below shows, the divergence increased after Trump assumed the Presidency on 20th... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
3 months ago
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ For once, Europe outperformed the US in January. Our portfolio gave us a return of 4.7% and outperformed both the NASDAQ and the S&P500 at 2.2% and 2.7% respectively. The European STOXX50 index really took off after a breakout in mid-January and delivered 8%. During... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
4 months ago
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ Our portfolio finished 2024 with a 12% return. Despite the drop last month, this is still above my long-term average of 10.9% annually over 7 years. Due to the outperformance of the US versus Europe, the portfolio was overweight in US equities. For December, this was... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
5 months ago
Edited
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ The inflation numbers came in exactly as expected and the market greeted the result with an upswing of the NASDAQ and the S&P500. The only reason I can see is that the uncertainty has been removed, meaning the CPI reading could have been worse than expected. Looking... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
6 months ago
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ The initial euphoria about a Republican sweep has given way to uncertainty about US policies once the new administration takes over. If the market hates anything, it is uncertainty. Provocative appointments such as Robert F. Kennedy as health minister have sent shockwaves... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
6 months ago
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—จ๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ Here is a short update on my approach to the US elections and the days following the elections. Historically, US stock markets have performed well during the two years following the US elections. So, the key is not to panic sell because of short-term volatility. As... Show More
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empiricist
Switzerland
7 months ago
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐—›๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜ Among the higher-risk stocks in my portfolio is Rocket Lab USA. The stock was up over 90% year-to-date by the time of writing. Rocket Lab benefits from a lack of choice in the space sector. The big gorilla would be SpaceX, which is not a publicly listed company.... Show More
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About empiricist
Switzerland
Strategy: Multi-Strategy

Mid- to long-term investment strategy based on macro and fundamental analysis, Europe & US
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