, gurumonkeys

gurumonkeys

Singapore
I invest primarily in stocks (>75% of my portfolio) with x5 leverage for the long term. The minimum holding period is 1 year. My portfolio focuses primarily on the tech sector as I have been a developer... Show More
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Sell
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2697.45
Buy
B
2699.70
Sell
S
157.94
Buy
B
158.24
Sell
S
168.31
Buy
B
168.67
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gurumonkeys
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Singapore released its 2020 budget a few days ago. 1 point highlighted in our 2020 budget signals to me that I should add an electric car manufacturer to my 2020 portfolio. An electric future – Additional incentives to encourage the use of more environmentally-friendly vehicles. Singapore plans to have all vehicles run on cleaner energy by 2040. There will be a number of measures to make this happen: For example, an early adoption incentive will be introduced to reward those who buy fully electric cars and taxis. The authorities are also looking to roll out way more charging points, with a target of up to 28,000 chargers at public car parks islandwide by 2030, up from the current 1,600 points. Picking out the winners and losers of an electric race will be hard but it also seems from the news that most car manufacturers are moving towards an electric future. Could this be a win-win for the industry? To play safe, I will be choosing 1 of the largest automakers in the United States to add to my portfolio, General Motors; the other largest automakers being Ford Motor and Fiat Chrysler. Valuing <a href="/markets/gm" class="e-link">$GM (General Motors Co)</a> I do expect General Motor to spend money on R&amp;D to ramp up its electric future in the coming years. General Motors’s EPS for the twelve months ending December 31, 2019 was $4.57, a 17.36% decline year-over-year. To simply my calculations, I will still be using the Gordon Growth Model. I expect the perpetual growth rate of General Motor’s EPS to be at 2%. This leads us to the formula below: Fair Value= 4.57/(0.08-0.02) Target price of $76.2. Will be opening US$250 worth of CFDs. ... Show More
gurumonkeys
@gurumonkeys
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Took the weekend to scout for stocks to add to my portfolio. Found Lenovo (0992.HK). In their latest quarterly earnings release on November 7, 2019, they stated group revenue in the second quarter reached US$13.5 billion; the ninth consecutive, year-on-year quarter of growth. Valuing Lenovo (0992.HK) Lenovo reported Q2 EPS at US$0.169; an average yearly EPS of US$0.68. I will be using the Gordon Growth Model. I expect the perpetual growth rate of Lenovo’s EPS to be at 3%. This leads us to the formula below: Fair Value=0.68/(0.08-0.03) Target price of US$13.6 or HK$105. It seems a little too undervalued to me. Sanity check ahead. Instead, since Lenovo pays a dividend in Hong Kong dollars, let us use that instead. Lenovo paid out HK$0.278 in 2019. Fair Value= 0.278/(0.08-0.03) Target price of HK$5.56. Better now! Lenovo looks undervalued to me and I will be adding US$250 worth of CFDs to my 2020 portfolio. Follow me on eToro here. ... Show More
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Alibaba ($BABA (Alibaba)) reported earnings 13 Feb 2020. Diluted earnings per ADS was RMB19.55 (US$2.81) and non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS was RMB18.19 (US$2.61). This is way above my estimates of an average 2020 quarterly EPS estimate of 1.32. Maintain BUY. ... Show More
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$BABA (Alibaba) reports earnings 13/02/2020. I maintain my target price of $248.5 with an average 2020 quarterly EPS estimate of 1.32. Required rate of return at 8% and perpetual growth rate of Alibaba’s EPS to be at 6% ... Show More
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BUY Intel ($INTC (Intel)) Required rate of return of 8% and 2% growth rate; target price of $78.5. www.etoro.com/people/gurumonkeys ... Show More