看情况,小资金且在搬砖也入不了多少金的情况下最好的翻盘办法就是20倍杠杆起跳,因为要不一刀穷(还是那么穷,穷得稳定),就是一刀富。例如你有2000刀,20倍杠杆单股,大涨100%,赌对了20倍到40.000刀,再20倍杠杆,又对了,就是800.000刀,财富自由了。虽然概率很低,但是如果就是2000刀又没有搬砖的能力,基本上是穷忙一辈子了,大概率5年后负6.4%回报率。所以说这种情况杠杆才是王道。... Show More Translate
市场一跌或升下,各路牛鬼神蛇,十万个为什么都出来了。有说之前划过线的,末日警告的,有突然顿悟的,我看很多兄弟你都快40大几的了,对人生还有什么疑惑吗?有这么多为什么吗,无非就是大赚的,想集中套现了,公司的基本盘出问题了,各国不印钱了,社会不发展了,世界末日了?个个都说闲钱投资,一个5%都不到的波动就把二傻吓的,回调30%都正常。盘子小的去搬砖,40几岁的海外的没赚钱的也不要多想了,知天命。... Show More Translate
关于杠杆带来的“波动损耗”,我要解释一下我误解了一部分,纠正一下。
杠杆有两种,一种是通过平台借贷融资,这种杠杆你可以自己设置杠杆倍数,不过这种有强平机制,-50%一般就强平了,除非你追加保证金,可以稍微拉长亏损容忍。
第二种,就是自带杠杆的股票和ETF。波动损耗,只出现在这里。这种杠杆股票/ETF,不会爆仓,不会要求追加保证金,但是随着时间拉长,到几年,可以确定是往-99.99%亏损的方向,因为震荡行情,也会亏损。除非你买的刚刚连续好几年一直上涨趋势(如果是做多),但这个概率太低了,上涨过程也有震荡行情。几个月连续上涨已经属于极限了。
另外,原来美联储利率利率也会影响杠杆的借贷成本,这个我之前没想到。当你使用杠杆时,提供者早就计算好了成本。
杠杆真复杂,要不咱们不玩了,还不行吗?... Show More Translate
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