AI stocks now show classic late-cycle behavior.
Strong leaders already repriced future growth. Example: $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)
That was Stage 1.
Capital then moved into unprofitable growth names. Example: $CRWV (CoreWeave Inc)
That was Stage 2.
Today, speculative names rise without revenue. Example:... Show More
TD Cowen downgraded $WBD after bid speculation sharply drove up price in the last couple of days. I completely agree. While a potential bid might push the price even further, it is still unconfirmed speculation. Yet the market has already priced in a substantial possibility of a successful bid.
I consider... Show More
Portfolio Strategy Update:
(1) Core investment portfolio: The foundation of my investment strategy is made of a few selected companies that i consider worthy of long-term investment. These are generally big name companies in their field with decent long-term profitability outlook (this will deliver... Show More
$OIL is below 70 USD once again. Obviously we are in an inflationary environment which means upside pressure for commodities. OPEC also tried to intervene a month ago. Yet $OIL is weak anyway.
My interpretation is that it is a sign of general economic weakness which is not yet visible on the bottom lines.... Show More
Buy the rumors, sell the news.
$TIT.MI (Telecom Italia S.p.A.) has been working on a spin-off or selling of its infrastructure assets for a while. Two days ago the company finally received offers from prospective buyers. First reaction of the market was 8% decline. Today the movement was confirmed by... Show More
$T.US (AT&T Inc) missed Q1 forecasts, stock is down 10%. I see this as a general warning for the market: consumers seem to be cutting back on spending. When such a basic service provider is struggling with weak demand, I suspect that a lot more companies will be in trouble. ... Show More
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
My portfolio was up 6.74% in January. Sounds cool, right?
We must not forget about the massive tailwind my portfolio was facing: $SPX500 increased 6.18%. If we consider a more realistic benchmark, say 60% $SPX500 / 40% cash, that would be up 4% in January. So the bigger part of my January performance... Show More
Update on $SPG (Simon Property Group Inc) : This is a textbook example. After the breakout from the range the prior resistance level (that became support) was tested. The price formed a nice second base on the top of the base, then a new breakout confirmed the price movement.
Disclaimer: My trade idea... Show More
I have added $SPG (Simon Property Group Inc) to my portfolio. Interestingly, both fundamental and technical pictures suggest buying:
- Decreasing inflation, thus decreasing rates are good for the real estate sector in general
- Price has just made a clear breakout from a 2-month consolidation (see chart... Show More
Splitting Telecom Italia $TIT.MI (Telecom Italia S.p.A.) into parts might add considerable value to investors.
The company (as a whole) is struggling with high debt and squeezed margins. However the following clues suggest that its assets are valuable:
- KKR was considering a takeover bid at ca. EUR... Show More
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Fri Oct 16 2026 11:49:50 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)