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Thinker83
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This Year’s Performance. Risk Score Considers Last 7D.
Jay Edward Smith @jaynemesis
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Week 48 Update: etoro.tw/2KR7Nxe Stats given cover closed trades for the 26th November - 2nd December My total realized loss from the past week is 0.22% Overall the portfolio is up 4.62% from last week Profitable trades closed: 13 Unprofitable trades closed: 3 Most traded instrument: $BTC (5 Trades) Intro A small bounce in crypto back above 4K gave us some much needed relief this week. The stock markets also bounced back from one of the lowest points of the year, offering some opportunities to recoup losses. I enjoyed a few great day trades in what was actually one of my quieter weeks for trades closed. The crypto markets still look fragile, with many projects now struggling for funding including one of the most popular Dapps - SteemIt. SteemIt (not to be confused with Steem itself) laid off 70% of it’s staff earlier this week and today receive strong criticism from <a href="/markets/eos" class="e-link">$EOS</a> front man Dan Larimer who was pushed out of the project a few years ago. Looking at the top 100 cryptos on CMC it is clear to me that the bear market still has a little further to go, even if we don’t find a new low, we could sit at the current level for many months. There are simply too many terrible projects still clinging on to life. Cryptos: <a href="/markets/btc" class="e-link">$BTC</a> 5 trades this week. 3 long, and 2 short day trades closed at 8.6%, -12.4%, 0.7%, 0.33% & 5.2% resulting in a small profit overall Stocks: <a href="/markets/uk100" class="e-link">$UK100</a> I finally closed this short at a loss of -3.2%. Not too bad given how much resilience the market has shown through recent brexit drama. I am still bearish on the UK economy as a whole, however I no longer see a good opportunity to gain much more from this position given how much more likely a 2nd referendum looks <a href="/markets/spx500" class="e-link">$SPX500</a> A similar story for the SPX500, the trade war is cooling off a little and as we head into the most important time of year for retail, following good results over Thanks Giving week this felt like a sensible loss to take at -2.95% <a href="/markets/amd" class="e-link">$AMD (Advanced Micro Devices Inc)</a> 2 long day trades closed at 5.73% & 2.92% each. AMD is approaching a fair valuation again at around $24. I’ll look to close out a few of my longer-term positions in this range to protect some profit. <a href="/markets/etsy" class="e-link">$ETSY (Etsy Inc)</a> ETSY received some praise from Zacks this week as it pressed back up towards the all-time-high set a few weeks ago. Clearly there would be resistance along the way, offering me some easy wins. 2 trades closed at 1.59% and 9.1% profit <a href="/markets/grmn" class="e-link">$GRMN (Garmin Ltd.)</a> 1 long position closed for a small gain of 1.21%. I mentioned Garmin’s recent advertising push in last weeks update, their product line for wearables continues to strengthen, solidifying their position as the top competitor to <a href="/markets/fit" class="e-link">$FIT (Fitbit)</a> and <a href="/markets/aapl" class="e-link">$AAPL (Apple)</a> in this market, I hope to trade them more in future, but traditionally it lacks volatility <a href="/markets/msft" class="e-link">$MSFT (Microsoft)</a> Another day trade closed at 1.34% profit. Microsoft continues to eek out their advantage strengthening their lead as the worlds most valuable company. I plan to continue day trading it for now, with limited exposure <a href="/markets/sedg" class="e-link">$SEDG (SolarEdge Technologies)</a> My trade of the week was with Solar Edge. After spending several hours researching many solar stocks again last week, Solar Edge came out head and shoulders above the rest as the best long-term opportunity. I opted to open a swing trade expecting it to take upto a month for any major results, but was pleasantly surprised to see a gain of 10.81% which I closed the same week <a href="/markets/fslr" class="e-link">$FSLR (First Solar, Inc.)</a> Closed for a profit of 1.26%, First Solar also looks set for a big surge next year, this trade however, was only ever meant to be a day trade <a href="/markets/tsla" class="e-link">$TSLA (Tesla Motors, Inc.)</a> 1 long position closed for 1.62% profit in 3 days. Tesla is going from strength to strength at the moment and hit a great milestone, producing 1000 cars per day currently. I’m increasingly tempted to increase exposure here long-term Looking Forward Christmas is now only a few weeks away. As a result I expect that I will be unable to trade quite as actively towards the end of the month. I still plan to release my weekly update videos on Mondays, although the update for the 24th could be delayed until the 26th or 27th as I’m away with my family. This period of the year is always an interesting one for crypto. Last year the hype around cryptocurrency was substantial, and over xmas millions of new investors took advice from family members and joined the space. This year could help markets recover as those who perhaps opted to avoid investing last year see the opportunities offered by reduced prices this year. Or perhaps it will be awkward for everyone as they continue to hold their bags from last year. ... Show More
Top Traders by Sharpe @SharpTraders
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Dear Investors, Here is your monthly update for October 2018. SharpTraders is a Top Trader portfolio, which means its investment strategy selects investors with a high sharpe ratio and 12 month average risk score ranging from 2 to 7 in a descending rate. The selection of traders is further explained in the bio description and an explanation about what sharpe ratio means can be read here: <a href="https://etoro.tw/2wDuhv1" class="e-link" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">etoro.tw/2wDuhv1</a> This portfolio is built by eToro’s business intelligence team and managed by eToro's investment committee. The MSCI ACWI global benchmark index is currently down 4.5% for this year. This portfolio is currently down 1.3%, outperforming the index. October was a low-performing month for the portfolio, with a loss of 2.7%. Due to some of the risk measures inbulit within the portfolio a far larger loss was prevented. Stock markets suffered dramatic losses in October, however this portfolio's performance was relatively unscathed and performed resiliently. This CopyPortfolio is a long-term investment vehicle. Therefore, since market trends can change over time, you should set realistic goals and assess your investment performance over a prolonged period. The risk for this portfolio over last month remained very low. Unlike thematic market portfolios there is no market bias with funds allocated among indices (both long and short), currencies as well as equities and other asset classes. This diversification prevents clients from being exposed to large market losses. Decreased risk, can mean lower volatility and lower swings both ways in terms of profit and loss. Please bear this in mind. If you are planning to add funds to your existing investment, you can do so by closing your current investment and reopen it with your desired investment amount. Please remember past performance is not indicative of any future performance. <a href="/markets/spx500" class="e-link">$SPX500</a>, <a href="/markets/nsdq100" class="e-link">$NSDQ100</a> <a href="/markets/eurusd" class="e-link">$EURUSD</a> ... Show More
Lee Hargreaves @greavesy1984
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I think some people really need to have a think as to why they use this platform...if its to make money, learn, help educate that’s fine, but even when a popular investor try’s to do good, you still get idiots who try their best to put you down and to find a negative in what you’ve done or said. People are quick to point towards the popular investors such <a href="/people/wesl3y" class="e-link">@Wesl3y</a> <a href="/people/alnayef" class="e-link">@ALnayef</a> <a href="/people/conhoulihan" class="e-link">@Conhoulihan</a> etc who stopped communicating on the platform...but as time passes, I’m starting to see why when you get to Elite status, that you’d no longer take time out to communicate. No matter what a PI posts, they get a troll of some kind. I see <a href="/people/jaynemesis" class="e-link">@jaynemesis</a> communicate as much as anyone, and you know what he gets for doing so? More troll posts than anyone! I think everyone needs to take responsibility for the good of this platform and point out troll behaviour, because these people make this place, a lesser place for everyone on it. <a href="/markets/spx500" class="e-link">$SPX500</a> <a href="/markets/dj30" class="e-link">$DJ30</a> <a href="/markets/amzn" class="e-link">$AMZN (Amazon)</a> <a href="/markets/nvda" class="e-link">$NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)</a> <a href="/markets/fb" class="e-link">$FB (Facebook)</a> <a href="/markets/aapl" class="e-link">$AAPL (Apple)</a> <a href="/markets/nflx" class="e-link">$NFLX (Netflix, Inc.)</a> <a href="/markets/goog" class="e-link">$GOOG (Alphabet)</a> ... Show More
Jay Edward Smith @jaynemesis
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Quick summary for my views on $BNB for anyone interested. The Company: Binance is a great company with a track record for acting quickly and sensibly during attempted thefts and hacks. Their security has proven itself top tier, and they even have a dedicated "disaster fund" they regularly add to, which would be made available if there was a major theft. Binance is now one of the biggest exchanges in all of Crypto. The token: Binance token is effectively just debt. The token's only utility is on the Binance exchange, where anyone using it benefits from reduced spreads. This of course drove demand for the token among traders, giving it a value at the beginning of it's life. The value increases over time for an entirely different reason. Binance has committed to buying back the tokens and burning them over time, making them more rare, and thus more valuable. Binance publishes a quarterly report on it's profit and token burns. Pros/Cons: Pro: - One of the best performing coins of 2017/2018 - Is actually used for designed purpose - Is very useful if you trade on Binance, why wouldn't you own some? - It is in essence backed by a real company with a strong track record, should something go wrong. Cons: - Could easily be considered a security, as mentioned it's basically just a form of debt - Centralized, although the token itself is decentralized, the company that gives it any value is not. IF Binanace got hacked, the token could fall dramatically. - Not a very exciting use of crypto technology, not going to change the world So, will I be buying any? Possibly 1 position, but probably not. I do hold BNB in my personal portfolio outside eToro, but only because I occasionally use BNB exchange, it is a small part of my portfolio. Finally, the question I genuinely have: Why did eToro add this token? Feels like a very strange choice given that Binance is effectively a competitor to eToro. As far as I can see there are three reasons for them to do it: 1. Everyone was screaming for it, high demand. 2. It required very little effort and they believe it will help retain users/add legitimacy/make them look active. 3. They are actually planning an eToro coin that works in a similar way and would like to familiarize everyone with the concept. (I hope this is true, but it seems unlikely). I have not personally witnessed high demand, and we can see <a href="/markets/zec" class="e-link">$ZEC</a> in the wings waiting to be added soon, so that throws out the just because they want to look good logic. Who knows, but it's nice to have options. On that note - I will be buying <a href="/markets/zec" class="e-link">$ZEC</a> when that comes on. ... Show More
Jay Edward Smith @jaynemesis
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So, quick update ahead of the day: $MSFT (Microsoft) beat earnings (gaming especially), up a little pre-market $AMD (Advanced Micro Devices Inc) beat earnings but offered 10% reduced guidance, down 22% after market, I figure this is a huge over reaction on top of the 10% drop yesterday. Expect the price to rally back towards 20 today unless the entire market falls again. I know many of you will think me mad, but I am still bullish on AMD, their 7nm GPU is due for release later this year and could perform reasonably well given nVidia's self-sacrifice for RTX tech. Epyc and Ryzen are performing well, as expected. <a href="/markets/tsla" class="e-link">$TSLA (Tesla Motors, Inc.)</a> who moved earnings forward smashed targets, still yet to listen to this call. <a href="/markets/twtr" class="e-link">$TWTR (Twitter)</a> smashed earnings, still yet to listen to the call, up 15% pre-market. Still several other big companies due to report today. Yesterday, as mentioned I was at the EOS event in London and unfortunately due to a great panel of speakers had not seen the market driving down in the evening. I said this week would be very important for the portfolio, I wasn't wrong. Yesterday's drop leads me to to believe we are heading bearish, we fell below the 200MA on the nasdaq daily chart. We're at a support level, so I'll watch closely, but expect to turn my trading bearish, taking profits where sensible, taking losses where necessary and re-positioning our stock portfolio for a potential bear market. My gut feeling is that the market will just about cling on to current levels, attempt to get back past the 200MA, but turn bearish in Q4/Q1. ... Show More