Vilius Mikelskis
Vilius Mikelskis @VMInvest

Performance
All

8.61%2026
2026
-2.94%2025
2025
59.64%2024
2024
0%2023
2023
-14.09%2022
2022
0%2021
2021
-18.03%2020
2020
7.29%2019
2019
59.6%0%-59.6%
Vilius Mikelskis
📊 Weekly Review — 8 Sep 2026 Three macro gates, checked at Friday's close. Not a forecast — just the state of the system. 1️⃣ Trend - 🟢 2️⃣ Breadth - 🟢 3️⃣ Volatility - 🟢 0 of 3 gates firing - full target exposure. No rebalancing this week. The ladder moves weights when a gate actually fires,... Show More
Vilius Mikelskis
📊 WEEKLY SIGNAL CARD 1 · TREND 🟢 2 · BREADTH 🟢 3 · VOLATILITY 🟢 0 / 3 gates firing → full risk-on target weights: No change from last week. The ladder is mechanical — gate count maps straight to target weights, so there's no view to express here. Green gates don't mean "buy anything";... Show More
Vilius Mikelskis
Weekly Signal Card — Gates 0/3 🟢 🟢 Trend 🟢 Breadth 🟢 Volatility All three gates green → the system stays at full target allocation. Volatility has ticked up and participation under the surface is narrowing, but no gate has crossed its line — so the process holds weights rather than reacting... Show More
Vilius Mikelskis
🟢 Weekly macro check — 0 / 3 gates firing • Trend ✅ • Breadth ✅ • Volatility ✅ All three gates green = full risk-on. No discretionary calls — the rules say risk-on, so we're risk-on.
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
Vilius Mikelskis
Plenty of well-known investors are warning the market looks "exuberant" right now, with the index at all-time highs. They may be right. But I've built the portfolio so I don't have to have an opinion on that. My posture is set by signals, not headlines. Three of them: the index trend,... Show More
Vilius Mikelskis
Macro looks good right now, so moving the portfolio to full exposure. Still keeping some staples and defensive names in the mix — the kind of businesses that hold up when things get choppy. Good to have that ballast even in a constructive tape.
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
Vilius Mikelskis
The most useful thing I can tell you this week: nothing. My macro overlay tracks SPX trend, breadth, and VIX. Right now it reads 0 of 3 signals confirmed — clean tape, VIX at 18, breadth healthy, index above every key moving average. That means full target exposure and zero changes. No de-risking,... Show More
Vilius Mikelskis
Market review: Market sentiment cooled today as the record rally hit pause — S&P 500 and Nasdaq pulling back from fresh ATHs after a +9% April run. At the same time, breadth remains healthy and true leaders are still acting well — Texas Instruments, United Rentals, and the semis (16 straight up... Show More
Vilius Mikelskis
Market review: Market sentiment remains fragile as macro uncertainty continues to drive volatility. Elevated interest rates, mixed economic data, and cautious central bank tone are keeping pressure on equities in the short term. At the same time, we’re starting to see selective strength in high-quality... Show More
Vilius Mikelskis
Market review: Markets remain volatile as investors continue to digest a mix of macro uncertainty and geopolitical risk. Recent data suggests inflation pressures are still lingering in parts of the economy, keeping the Federal Reserve cautious about how quickly it can move toward rate cuts. At the... Show More

About Vilius Mikelskis
Lithuania
Strategy: Multi-Strategy

Quality. Patience. Compounding
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