Rudolf De Leeuw @RudolfDeLeeuw: "✈️🛢️ Portfolio update: airlines, oil..."

Netherlands

✈️🛢️ Portfolio update: airlines, oil and geopolitics After my previous update, we now have another interesting development in the Middle East. Israel, Lebanon and the US have signed a new framework agreement that could be a first step towards more stability in the region. Of course, this does not mean everything is solved overnight. There are still many moving parts, especially around Hezbollah, Israeli troops in southern Lebanon and the fragile ceasefire situation. But for markets, direction often matters before perfection does. Why this matters for my portfolio This is exactly why I positioned the portfolio the way I did over the last few days/weeks: ✅ I already took profit on a large part of my airline positions, after gains of roughly 30–50% ✅ I still hold around 10% exposure to airline stocks ✅ I also have around 10% short exposure on USO / oil ✅ And I rotated part of the profits into tech, after the recent pullback The idea behind the setup The idea is simple: If geopolitical tensions continue to cool down, the oil risk premium could come down further. That would be negative for oil/USO, but positive for airlines, because lower fuel costs are generally good news for the sector. So in a way, this is a double-sided setup: ✈️ Airlines can benefit from lower oil prices and improving sentiment 🛢️ A short USO position can benefit if oil continues to normalize 💻 Tech remains my long-term conviction play, especially after the recent discount Still managing risk That said, I am not going all-in on one scenario. The Middle East remains unpredictable, and one headline can change the picture again. That is why I already secured profits, reduced some exposure, and kept enough flexibility to act if the situation changes. Current positioning For now, the timing still looks strong: ✅ Airline profits locked in ✅ Still some upside exposure left ✅ Oil short working with the peace/stability thesis ✅ Tech bought after weakness Let’s see how this develops. If tensions keep cooling down, this could become another very nice portfolio rotation. Final thoughts Not financial advice. Just sharing how I position my own portfolio. 🚀 A like is always appreciated. It helps this update reach more people and motivates me to keep investing time and effort into sharing these portfolio insights. 🙌 $DJ30 $NSDQ100 $SPX500 $RTY $USO (United States Oil Fund) $QQQ (Invesco QQQ)

Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.