AlexandrKudin
IMPORTANT EVENTS OF THE WEEK โ€“ 03/10/2025 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Last week's employment report showed an increase of 151,000 in non-farm payroll jobs, while the unemployment rate rose from 4% to 4.1%. This result virtually guarantees that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at its March meeting. Job growth in the private sector amounted to 140,000, aligning exactly with the average of the past six months, signaling consumer resilience. - Amid recent declines in business and consumer sentiment, investors were concerned that employment growth might be slowing. However, the report was fairly solid. - Additional signals about the labor market may come from job vacancy data. Equally important will be inflation figures, which will influence expectations for Fed policy. Bloombergโ€™s consensus forecast suggests that core CPI growth in February will slow to 0.3% m/m, down from 0.4% the previous month. Chairman Jerome Powell has repeatedly emphasized that the Fed needs to see โ€œreal progressโ€ in reducing inflation or signs of labor market weakening before considering a rate adjustment. Currently, markets are pricing in nearly three rate cuts of 25 basis points each this year. ๐Ÿ“ˆ MACROECONOMIC DATA : March 11: JOLTS job openings report (January) NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (February) March 12: OPEC monthly report Consumer Price Index (CPI) (February) March 13: Producer Price Index (PPI) (February) March 14: Preliminary Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations from the University of Michigan (March) HAVE A SUCCESSFUL WEEK $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $DJ30 $UK100 $GER40
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