If $NIO (Nio Inc.-ADR) replicates its summer 2023 performance from today’s stock price, it would imply a price target of $ 8.08 in September or October.
Based on its 2024 performance: $ 8.22
Based on its 2025 performance: $ 11.38... Show More
Every summer, $NIO (Nio Inc.-ADR) stock skyrocket.
Over the last three completed years, the stock rallied an average of roughly 80% between the end of June and its peak in September or October:
2023: +57.9%
2024: +60.6%
2025: +122.2%
Coincidence? HELLLL NO.
Tax incentives can be one factor, as they may push customers to buy before scheduled reductions.
But the main driver is the automotive cycle itself.
The second half of the year is often when the real momentum begins:
New models launch.
Production ramps up.
Deliveries accelerate.
Revenue expectations rise.
Profitability hopes return.
Low expectations in the first half can turn into strong operational momentum in the second, prompting the market to price in a potential recovery. NIO’s summer rallies are never guaranteed, but the pattern is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.
If you want exposure to NIO while avoiding the costs associated with opening a regular position, you can treat my copy portfolio as a NIO position, alongside a few other strong-performing Chinese stocks.
My exposure to NIO has remained stable since 2020, consistently representing between 50% and 60% of the entire portfolio, and that is not going to change anytime soon.
I’ve bought x5 today. Did you?
... Show More
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
I hope it does gain the summer momentum of 23,24,25. I think it did well in 2022. Going from about $14 in March to $22 July, August... Show More
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Wed Aug 12 2026 12:32:06 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
