๐ Alibaba ($9988.HK, $BABA (Alibaba-ADR) ) Update โ Position Now +111%
Dear Copiers,
Alibaba has been a lesson in patience. Despite periods of volatility, the core thesis never changed, so it remained a key holding in the portfolio. That patience has been rewarded, with the stock now up 111%.
This milestone also makes Alibaba the sixth stock in this portfolio to at least double since I began on eToro back in 2022. Considering Iโve only ever held 8 stocks here, thatโs a strike rate Iโm very proud of.
๐ฎ Looking Ahead โ 2030 Valuation Projection
Assumptions:
LTM Revenue: $138.995B (USD/CNY = 6.20)
5Y Revenue CAGR: 10%
2030 Profit Margin: 18%
2030 PE Ratio: 18
Shares Outstanding: 2.393B
Annual Share Reduction: 1.5%
Valuation:
2030 Target Price โ $326/share (USD)
From todayโs share price of $176, this represents:
Total Remaining Upside: +85%
5-Year CAGR (2025โ2030): ~13.2%
Alibaba remains a great business, and Iโm reluctant to sell given the power of compounding. The valuation is, of course, no longer the same as when we bought it at $80/share, so future returns are unlikely to be as dramatic. That said, the long-term growth drivers are still intact.
๐ While I will continue to monitor this position closely, for now it remains a core holding in the portfolio.
Thanks,
Devon... Show More
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Sat Jan 17 2026 14:15:44 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
