Marko Grecs @emge2116: "🔷 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙂𝙊𝙑𝙀𝙍𝙉𝙈𝙀𝙉𝙏 𝙎𝙃𝙐𝙏𝘿𝙊𝙒𝙉🔷 The U.S...."

Slovenia

🔷 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙂𝙊𝙑𝙀𝙍𝙉𝙈𝙀𝙉𝙏 𝙎𝙃𝙐𝙏𝘿𝙊𝙒𝙉🔷 The U.S. is the only country in the world whose government can actually shut down! ➤ 𝙃𝙤𝙬 𝙞𝙨 𝙖 𝙜𝙤𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙣𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩 𝙨𝙝𝙪𝙩𝙙𝙤𝙬𝙣 𝙥𝙤𝙨𝙨𝙞𝙗𝙡𝙚? Like every other country, the U.S. must decide each year how to spend public money. In the U.S., that’s done by passing appropriations bills — laws that specify how much each federal agency can spend from the government’s budget for the next year. No agency can spend a dollar without these laws in place. This rule was introduced in response to agencies repeatedly overspending and going back to Congress asking for more. In most other countries, if the budget isn’t passed on time, agencies simply keep operating under the previous year’s funding. But in the U.S., that’s not allowed — the government literally stops functioning until Congress reaches a new agreement. ➤ 𝙊𝙥𝙥𝙤𝙨𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙫𝙞𝙚𝙬𝙨 Since Congress failed to pass a continuing resolution to fund federal agencies for fiscal year 2026, the government has entered shutdown again. Today marks the 22nd day, the 11th shutdown overall, and the second-longest in U.S. history—after the 2018–2019 shutdown, which remains the longest. This time, the main disputes are over health insurance subsidy extensions, Medicaid cuts, and food programs. Republicans are pushing for cuts or restructuring, while Democrats want these programs extended or preserved. Democrats oppose a Republican budget that would cut healthcare for millions of people, making life harder and more expensive for everyone else, just to give permanent tax breaks to the wealthiest—all while driving up the government deficit. There are also disagreements over other areas of government spending, including defense, border security and law enforcement, science, energy, climate, research, social programs, public broadcasting, infrastructure, education, environmental regulation, etc. Since the start of the shutdown, multiple attempts to pass the House-approved spending bill or continuing resolution have failed. Even when one chamber passes a funding bill, it often fails in the other chamber or is vetoed. This back-and-forth can continue indefinitely until one side gives in or a compromise is reached. From the Republican perspective, Democrats are using the shutdown as leverage to force concessions, while Democrats accuse Republicans of refusing to negotiate. ➤ 𝙀𝙛𝙛𝙚𝙘𝙩𝙨 𝙤𝙣 𝙥𝙚𝙤𝙥𝙡𝙚 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙨𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙞𝙘𝙚𝙨 The shutdown has placed 900,000 federal employees on temporary unpaid leave, while 700,000 continue working without pay. Only essential government services remain operational, such as Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security payments. Key services at the Department of Veterans Affairs continue, including benefit processing, medical centers, suicide prevention programs, homelessness services, and caregiver support, while many other operations are paused. Non-essential court staff are on hold or experiencing disrupted pay. Many museums and public sites are closed, flight delays are increasing due to air traffic control shortages, and emergency response centers are not functioning at full capacity. Most agencies are pausing nonessential activities like research, data collection, and grant processing. The risks grow the longer the shutdown continues. Economic damage, low morale, and declining trust in institutions accumulate over time. The Treasury estimates the shutdown could cost up to $15 billion per week in lost economic activity. Prolonged shutdowns increase the likelihood of layoffs, staff reductions, and further program suspensions. ➤ 𝙄𝙣𝙫𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙧𝙨 𝙞𝙣 𝙩𝙧𝙤𝙪𝙗𝙡𝙚 The shutdown creates a frustrating environment for investors. Key economic data needed for informed decisions is delayed, leaving the true state of the U.S. economy unclear. The monthly employment report due on October 3 has not been released, and it’s uncertain when the Bureau of Labor Statistics will resume publishing data. If the shutdown continues, even October’s numbers may be delayed. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data, originally scheduled for October 15, has now been postponed to October 24. ➤ 𝙁𝙀𝘿’𝙎 𝙙𝙚𝙘𝙞𝙨𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙨 Investors aren’t the only ones kept in the dark. The Federal Reserve is struggling in a data vacuum, making it difficult to set interest rates accurately. This could lead to policy missteps—either poor inflation control or weaker economic output and higher unemployment. For now, the Fed and investors must rely on partial or alternative data from private-sector indicators instead of official government reports. Current reports suggest the Fed is likely to cut rates by 0.25% at the end of October. It seems we’re in a deadlock, with both Republicans and Democrats confident in their positions. This is already the second-longest shutdown in U.S. history, and there’s still no clear end in sight. $SP500 $NSDQ100 $BTC $USDOLLAR $GOLD

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