Johann-Nepomuk Ernst Josef Hoffer von Ankershoffen
๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐˜ž๐˜Œ๐˜Œ๐˜’๐˜“๐˜Œ๐˜  ๐˜œ๐˜—๐˜‹๐˜ˆ๐˜›๐˜Œ | Week 45 | ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช ๐“๐จ๐ฉ 3๏ธโƒฃ ๐Ÿ˜Ž 1๏ธโƒฃ1๏ธโƒฃ4๏ธโƒฃ4๏ธโƒฃ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ: +54.77% ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ: +79.49% ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ: +23.65% ๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฑ! Weโ€™re kicking off Monday as usual with our weekly update โ€“ and this oneโ€™s shaping up to be an exciting one: the ongoing earnings season is hitting right at the heart of our portfolio. Several of our holdings will be reporting this week โ€“ led, of course, by our largest position: $RHM.DE (Rheinmetall AG) ๐Ÿ“‰ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ฒ โ€“ ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—ฆ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ Most global markets closed last week in the red โ€“ nearly all major indices posted weekly losses. Nearly all? Not quite! In the U.S., retail traders continue to defy the dip, buying every pullback they can get, much to the frustration of institutional investors who keep hedging with put options. ๐Ÿค ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—บ๐—ฝ & ๐—ซ๐—ถ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ The latest rebound had several drivers. Even before the week began, early talks ahead of the Trumpโ€“Xi meeting hinted at a possible thaw in trade relations. And indeed, some small but symbolically important progress followed: China rolled back certain export restrictions on rare earths, the U.S. paused the threatened 100% tariffs, and both sides offered minor concessions โ€“ China promising more soybean imports, the U.S. cutting fentanyl-related tariffs by 10 percentage points. Hardly a breakthrough, but at least a pause in the escalation. ๐Ÿ’ฌ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฆ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜€ โ€“ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐˜† ๐—š๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ Fed Chair Jerome Powell also added some fuel to the market conversation. After the widely expected 25-basis-point rate cut, he surprised investors by stressing that another cut in December was far from guaranteed. U.S. yields reacted immediately, with 10-year Treasuries climbing back above the 4% mark. ๐Ÿ’ผ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฅ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ข๐—ป โ€“ ๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—ฆ๐—ผ ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐——๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—›๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ Roughly 70% of the S&P 500โ€™s market cap has now reported, and so far, results have been decent. Earnings per share for Q3 are tracking around +8% year-over-year, slightly ahead of consensus. Goldmanโ€™s view is a bit more conservative at +6%, but such differences are well within the normal range. ๐Ÿ›๏ธ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€ & ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ผ โ€“ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐—น๐—บ ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜…๐˜ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ On the macro side, things look quieter this week. The U.S. jobs report, originally due last Friday, is still delayed because of the ongoing government shutdown. Politically, there are tentative signs that some centrist Democrats might drop their opposition to a temporary funding bill through the end of November โ€“ but nothing is confirmed yet. ๐Ÿ’ฅ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐˜€ โ€“ ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ต If the macro front is calm, our portfolio definitely isnโ€™t. A total of ten companies are reporting this week, including: IAC, Uber, Arista, Angi Homeservices, Duolingo, Lyft, Fastly, Rheinmetall, Airbnb, and Warner Bros. Discovery. That lineup promises plenty of movement โ€“ and with $RHM.DE leading the pack, this could be a pivotal week for us. ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—•๐—ฒ๐—ด๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€ โ€“ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ง๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฌ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ With November kicking off, weโ€™re entering what is statistically the strongest stretch of the market year. Seasonality suggests tailwinds ahead โ€“ now letโ€™s see if the market follows through. Thatโ€™s all from me for today. Wishing everyone a strong start to the new week and a successful trading day ahead! As always, if you have questions or comments โ€“ feel free to reach out. all the best JvA ๐Ÿ™Œ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ๐‡๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐€๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐Œ๐š๐ง๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ โ€“ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐’๐ฎ๐œ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ & ๐’๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ญ ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ! ๐Ÿš€ โœ… ๐‡๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐‘๐ž๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐ฌ: I utilize ๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐š๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ for optimal entry and exit points, and rely on ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐š๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ฅ ๐š๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ to evaluate the true value of the companies I invest in. This allows me to achieve ๐š๐›๐จ๐ฏ๐ž-๐š๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐ฌ, even in volatile markets. โœ… ๐๐ž๐ฐ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ฒ: After learning from 2022, Iโ€™ve shifted my approach. My ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ฒ ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐š ๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ค๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ฐ๐จ๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐ง ๐š๐ ๐š๐ข๐ง, focusing on stability and long-term gains. โœ… ๐„๐ง๐ ๐š๐ ๐ž๐ ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: Iโ€™m always here for my followers and copiers, providing timely and transparent updates. Your success is my priority! ๐Ÿ“… ๐–๐ž๐ž๐ค๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐”๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ: Every Monday, I share a detailed update on my latest market moves and in-sights. ๐‰๐จ๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ ๐ญ๐จ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ž๐ง๐ž๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐๐ž๐ž๐ฉ ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐š๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ. Letโ€™s grow together! ๐Ÿ’ช $NSDQ100 $SPX500 $ETH $BTC
null
.