Davide Anzini
Switzerland
πŸš€ Current positions update: $BABA (Alibaba-ADR) $NIO (Nio Inc.-ADR) $0700.HK (Tencent) $BIDU (Baidu, Inc.-ADR) β€” Why they’re rallying & what to expect Hi everyone, I’d like to share some thoughts on my Chinese stocks (Alibaba, NIO, Tencent, Baidu), why I’m currently in profit, what’s driving the rally, the risks I see, and how things may evolve. πŸ”‘ Key drivers behind the rally ✨ AI and tech self-sufficiency πŸ‘‰ Alibaba and Baidu are now using their own chips to train AI models. πŸ‘‰ Alibaba raised $3.2B via a convertible bond to fund cloud & AI expansion. πŸ‘‰ Tencent is investing heavily in AI (Weixin, gaming, advertising, Yuanbao). ✨ Improved sentiment & valuations πŸ‘‰ The Hang Seng Tech Index has rallied strongly on AI optimism, with Baidu among the top gainers. πŸ‘‰ Chinese tech stocks trade at lower valuations vs U.S. peers, attracting global investors. ✨ Operational strength πŸ‘‰ NIO increased deliveries and lifted its outlook. πŸ‘‰ Tencent’s revenues are growing across gaming, ads, and social. πŸ‘‰ Alibaba is expanding its cloud & AI divisions. ✨ Regulatory pressure easing πŸ‘‰ Signals from Beijing suggest more support for tech as a growth engine, especially AI, cloud & chips. ⚠️ Risks to keep in mind ⚑ Dilution β€” NIO raised $1B via stock offering, short-term negative for shares. ⚑ Competition & margin pressure β€” EV market is overcrowded with overcapacity risks. ⚑ Geopolitical risks β€” U.S.–China tensions, chip export restrictions, new data rules. ⚑ High expectations β€” If growth doesn’t meet AI hype, sharp pullbacks possible. 🌟 Quick stock breakdown πŸ“Š Alibaba β€” Expanding cloud & AI, chip development, strong bond financing | Risks: high investments, long payback, regulation. πŸ“Š Baidu β€” AI leader (Ernie chatbot, Kunlun chips), strong momentum | Risks: intense competition, high R&D costs, regulation. πŸ“Š Tencent β€” WeChat, gaming, ads, investing big in AI | Risks: chip import restrictions, policy uncertainty. πŸ“Š NIO β€” EV delivery growth, green transition tailwinds | Risks: still loss-making, margin pressure, EV overcapacity. πŸ“ˆ Strategy & Outlook βœ… Think medium-long term: AI, EV, and cloud stories take time. βœ… Watch earnings & deliveries: Key catalysts for each company. βœ… Manage risk: Scaling in or trailing stops can help in volatile Chinese markets. 🎯 Conclusion These positions are riding strong structural trends in China β€” AI, EVs, cloud, and tech independence. That’s why performance has been strong lately. At the same time, volatility remains high, so staying alert to news on regulation, chip restrictions, or economic signals is essential.
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