Andres Guerra Cortes @andresguerra2: "Good day everyone 👋 I hope..."

Colombia

Good day everyone 👋 I hope you had a great start to September. As you may know, this month has a reputation for being a bit tricky for markets, and this week is already shaping up with plenty of action—from rising bond yields to critical jobs data. Let’s break it down together: 📉 Global Bond Yields Surge on Fiscal Woes and Tariffs Government bond yields are spiking worldwide: U.K. 30-year bonds climbed to 5.69%, Germany to 3.4%, France to 4.49%, and U.S. Treasuries are nearing 5%. The sell-off reflects investor fears over fiscal policy shifts, weaker demand for long-term debt, and uncertainty tied to global tariffs. ⚠️ September Market “Swoon” Risks Historically, September is one of the weakest months for equities, and Wall Street is bracing. While the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq remain near record highs, upcoming inflation data (Sep 10–11) plus tariff deadlines could spark turbulence. Still, some analysts see potential dips as opportunities to buy. 📊 Jobs Data in the Spotlight U.S. labor market reports are crucial. Markets are extremely sensitive—too weak a jobs number could confirm recessionary fears, while strong data may push back expectations for Fed rate cuts. Either way, expect volatility around the release. 🌐 Political & Policy Risks Geopolitical and political tensions remain a risk factor: France faces fears of a potential credit downgrade amid budget troubles, and in the U.S., debates over Fed independence intensified after the dismissal of the Fed governor. These developments add extra uncertainty to global markets. 📰 Weekly Highlights $RCL (Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd) 📈 Royal Caribbean is riding a wave of renewed demand—its stock is up 115% year-over-year! $AAL (American Airlines Group Inc) ✈️ American Airlines isn’t standing still—rolling out new routes to Europe and South America for summer 2026. $BTC 📊 Bitcoin is consolidating near $ 111K, and traders are watching the $ 114K resistance as the key level for the next breakout. $ORCL (Oracle Corporation) ☁️ Oracle is in the spotlight this week with its earnings report coming up. The company has made huge investments in cloud infrastructure and AI. $ADBE (Adobe Systems Inc) 🎨 Adobe is also set to release its quarterly numbers. The market is looking for signs that its new generative AI tools, like Firefly, are successfully driving revenue in a rapidly evolving, and competitive, AI landscape. 🚀 Long-Term Optimism Still Holds Despite the seasonal headwinds, there are reasons to stay optimistic. Corporate earnings remain solid, AI-driven demand continues to support tech, and Fed rate cuts are still on the horizon. As analysts like to say: “seasonality is climate, not weather”—short-term bumps don’t erase long-term opportunities. 💬 Final Thought: This week brings a mix of short-term risks and long-term opportunities. Bond markets are flashing warning signals, jobs data will be the main driver of volatility, and September seasonality could weigh on sentiment. Still, the underlying fundamentals—earnings and innovation—remain supportive for long-term investors. Wishing you all the best Un gran saludo Andrés Guerra $SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) $NSDQ100