JvAnkershoffen
🍀 Weekly Update Good evening everyone, first the YTD benchmark numbers.... 🟢 JvAnkershoffen 41.42% 🟢 $SPX500 14.58% 🟢 $NSDQ100 10.75% 🟢 $GER40 10.10% Followed by the topics: 1️⃣ 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁/𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 2️⃣ I𝗜𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 3️⃣ 𝗘𝗭𝗕 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1️⃣ 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁/𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗶𝗲𝘄 ➡️ The first week of September is over, and the last few days have felt like they came straight out of a textbook: Red, red, and more red! 📉 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗵𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 ➡️ All major stock indices took a hit, including the Small Cap Index $RTY Oil and bond yields followed suit. Classic textbook scenario: When stocks fall, many investors rush into bonds, driving up prices and pushing down yields. 𝗦𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝘁𝘀: ➡️ And as if that weren't enough, we're in September, historically a weak month for stocks. While it's typically the second half of the month that causes trouble, this year the market weakness seems to be arriving early. 𝗖𝗿𝗮𝘀𝗵 𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴? ➡️ Despite the red days, the markets are still up year-to-date and are trading only slightly below their all-time highs. The popular CNN Fear & Greed Index shows "Fear," but the broader Bank of America indicator, which is based on institutional positioning, remains stable. The VIX has risen slightly, but it's still far below panic levels. 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝘄𝗲 𝗱𝗼𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗼? ➡️ For now, the correction has been called off. In the short- to mid-term trades sector, we've made some significant changes: $NEE (NextEra Energy Inc) and $LC (LendingClub Corporation) (part sale) have been sold. We've added $TSLA (Tesla Motors, Inc.) to the portfolio, as the technical charts suggest better prospects for higher prices. 📈 ➡️ 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗱𝗮𝘆: $PLTR (Palantir Technologies Inc.) surged with a +14% gain. 🔥 The portfolio performance today +2.60%, clearly outperforming both the $NSDQ100 and the $SPX500 . 📊 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘂𝗽 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸? 2️⃣ 𝗜𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 ➡️ Next week brings some exciting data: On Wednesday, we’ll get the latest U.S. CPI inflation numbers for August, with expectations of a year-over-year drop from +2.9% to +2.6%. The Fed is likely to cut interest rates in September – the only question is whether it will be 25bps or 50bps. 🏦💸 3️⃣ 𝗘𝗭𝗕 ➡️ On Thursday, the ECB will take the stage. A 25bps cut in the deposit rate is expected. It will be interesting to see if anyone reports a "0.60% rate cut," as the main refinancing rate could drop by 60bps. 😅 ➡️ Overall, this looks like a normal correction. But as always, the future is uncertain, and no one can predict the market perfectly. Stay tuned and here's to a successful week ahead! 💪📊 All the best JvA