Joao Silva Ferreira
๐™„๐™ฃ๐™ซ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™ง๐™จ, Gold fell about 5% and silver about 7% today, deepening last Fridayโ€™s rout. Oil slid over 5% after comments that Iran and the U.S. may be talking. European and Asian stocks moved lower; South Korea fell more than 5% and briefly halted trading. Chinaโ€™s private PMI edged up to 50.3 from 50.1. Big themes: risk-off mood, commodity volatility, and mixed macro signals out of China. ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™จ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ : Bearish, high volatility and headline-driven moves are dominating flows today. ๐Ÿฏ ๐™Š๐™ฅ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ : 1) Catastrophe bonds. Investor interest is strong for equity like returns with low correlation. 2) China cyclicals. PMI 50.3 shows small expansion. Select exporters and industrials could benefit if the trend continues. 3) Mining and beaten metal names. Big selloff in gold and silver can create selective entry points for long-term metal exposure. ๐Ÿฏ ๐™ง๐™ž๐™จ๐™ ๐™จ ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ง๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™จ๐™ž๐™œ๐™ฃ๐™จ : 1) Precious metals volatility. Gold down ~5% and silver ~7% can spike margin calls and hurt miners. 2) US government shutdown uncertainty. Political flashpoints can hit sentiment and spending-sensitive names. 3) Geopolitical and oil volatility. Oil moved down >5% after Iran talk headlines. Energy and EM credit can swing fast. ๐™„๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™š๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ข๐™ž๐™˜ ๐™š๐™ซ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ(๐™จ) ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™˜๐™ ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™™๐™–๐™ฎ : - China private manufacturing PMI (RatingDog) published today: 50.3 vs 50.1 prior. - Government shutdown developments and Congressional votes. Speaker said he is confident shutdown will end by Tuesday. Market will react to any headline. - Precious metals and oil moves are market drivers today: gold -5%, silver -7%, oil -5% plus mining stocks down ~3%. - South Korea trading halt after >5% drop. Watch Asian liquidity and spillovers. ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ฎ ๐™ข๐™ฎ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™™๐™–๐™ฎ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™จ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง๐™จ๐™š๐™ก๐™› ๐Ÿš€ Letโ€™s grow and win together, Joao Ferreira $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $BTC $ETH $GOLD
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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