Joao Silva Ferreira
๐™š๐™๐™ค๐™ง๐™ค ๐™‹๐™ค๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐Ÿ“ฐ ๐™„๐™ฃ๐™ซ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™ง๐™จ Today is a mixed market tape. Big winners in chips and AI infrastructure after fresh earnings and model news, while geopolitics and energy fears keep overall risk elevated. Big moves: TSMC hits a record after easing of Taiwan single-stock caps and +58% Q1 profit, Intel up about 20% on results, Texas Instruments up about 19%. At the same time oil is higher as Iran/Hormuz risks persist and European markets opened lower on fading ceasefire optimism. ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™จ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ : Neutral (cautious). Strong sector-specific bullish flows into semiconductors and AI, offset by macro and geopolitical downside risk. ๐Ÿฏ ๐™Š๐™ฅ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ : 1) Semiconductors: TSMC at record highs after policy easing and a 58% jump in Q1 profit; chip names showing big earnings beats (Intel +20%, TI +19%). Short-term momentum trade. 2) AI infrastructure and hardware: OpenAI GPT-5.5, DeepSeek V4 preview, Alibaba Qwen integration into cars. Buy providers of compute, chips, and cloud services. 3) Cannabis sector reclassification: DOJ moving FDA-approved marijuana to Schedule III creates a regulatory tailwind for select names. ๐Ÿฏ ๐™ง๐™ž๐™จ๐™ ๐™จ ๐™ค๐™ง ๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ง๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™จ๐™ž๐™œ๐™ฃ๐™จ : 1) Energy & geopolitics: Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions keep oil up and raise stagflation risk; IEA calls it the biggest energy security threat. 2) Earnings jitters in software: ServiceNow and IBM results triggered a tech selloff; software stocks remain vulnerable. 3) Policy and market shocks: White House warnings on China IP, corporate cost cuts (Meta layoffs, Microsoft buyouts), and fragile travel sector (Spirit needs rescue) increase event risk. ๐™„๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™š๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ข๐™ž๐™˜ ๐™š๐™ซ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ(๐™จ) ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ฉ๐™˜๐™ ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™™๐™–๐™ฎ : - Japan core CPI (March) released today: core inflation around 1.8% โ€” watch BOJ commentary and FX/JPY moves. - Iran/Strait of Hormuz developments and ceasefire updates that could drive oil and risk appetite intraday. - Earnings follow-through: watch chip names and software reporting reactions after yesterdayโ€™s big moves. ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐™’๐™๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™„โ€™๐™™ ๐™™๐™ค ๐™ž๐™› ๐™„ ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ง๐™š ๐™ง๐™š๐™–๐™ก๐™ก๐™ค๐™˜๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™™๐™–๐™ฎ: - Trim high-valuation software names showing earnings weakness, take profits where runs were large. - Add selectively to semiconductors and AI infrastructure names on pullbacks, size positions for volatility. - Raise a small hedge via energy exposure or options for oil spikes, keep 5โ€“10% cash buffer for event risk. - Small tactical buy of cannabis names on regulatory reclassification news. ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ฎ ๐™ข๐™ฎ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™™๐™–๐™ฎ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™จ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง๐™จ๐™š๐™ก๐™› ๐Ÿš€ Letโ€™s grow and win together, Joao Ferreira $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $BTC $ETH $GOLD
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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