Felipe Zacarias Candela
May 15, 2026 - 20:00 🚨 THE ANATOMY OF PANIC: Why the market will return to all-time highs next week by @FelipeZacariasC🚨 This week, Wall Street has been bombarded by a perfect storm of headlines designed to terrify the retail investor. We have read four almost simultaneous apocalyptic narratives: Geopolitical tensions between the US and China over Taiwan. The fear of "Stagflation" (economic slowdown + inflation) due to the rebound in oil. Bond yields breaking multi-year resistances (pricing out rate cuts). The new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, hinting that he could raise rates this very year. The result? Indices in the red, the Nasdaq falling, and novice analysts comparing the market to the crises of 1999 or 2008. But at 'El Fortín', we do not read headlines; we analyse the flow of money. Here is our exclusive macroeconomic view and why I assure you this is a temporary mirage. 🧠 THE TRUE MACROECONOMIC VIEW: What we are experiencing is not the start of a recession; it is a temporary recalibration of expectations. It is all a domino effect: the crisis in the Middle East pushed oil up -> that heated up the CPI/PPI -> the market priced out rate cuts -> and Kevin Warsh took the opportunity to put on his "hawk" suit (tough on inflation) and establish his authority at the Fed. The spooked investor believes that a rate hike will destroy the economy. But they forget the golden rule of Wall Street: the market is a machine for discounting the future. This sharp drop in recent days means that the market has already discounted the worst possible scenario (a rate hike and expensive oil). The damage is already done and priced in. 🚀 WHY WE WILL RETURN TO ALL-TIME HIGHS NEXT WEEK: Once the initial "shock" of the rates is digested, smart capital returns to focus on the fundamentals. And the fundamentals of our portfolio are indestructible: AI is the real economy: The fear of stagflation ignores a brutal fact: spending on Artificial Intelligence infrastructure accounted for 70% of US GDP growth in the first quarter. Technology is the lifebelt of the world. Immunity to Rates: Nvidia ($NVDA) or Microsoft ($MSFT) do not care if bonds pay 4% or 5%. They do not use debt to operate. They hold hundreds of billions in cash. Their plan to spend $700 billion on CapEx remains intact, regardless of what Kevin Warsh says. Our Defence works: Whilst the market adjusts, our exposure to energy ($LNG) and commodities ($FCX, Gold) protects us from oil volatility. 💡 OUR VERDICT (THE 'SMART MONEY' MOVE): This shakeout is simply the "hazing" of the new Fed Chair and a rapid adjustment of bonds. In the coming days, when the market finishes digesting this interest rate hike, institutional funds will return to buy technology at a discount. My mathematical projection is clear: next week we will see a violent rebound that will catapult us back to all-time highs. Whilst the retail investor sells out of fear, I continue to inject between $3,000 and $8,000 USD monthly of my own capital to buy blood in the streets. 🛡️ DO YOU WANT TO INVEST WITHOUT FEAR OF NOISE? If you are looking for a portfolio designed to understand macroeconomics, withstand shocks, and capitalise on the rebound: Minimum Investment: $300 USD. Recommended Investment: $1,000 USD (To replicate our commodities shield and our technological offensive with exactness). Critical Configuration: ✅ Always tick "Copy Open Trades". Horizon: 36+ months. We invest in realities, not in panic. Patience, cool heads, and maths. Felipe Zacarías C. Macro Intelligence + Micro Precision | eToro Champion 📊 UPDATE (End of Week Close): To back up the thesis of this post, I have just reviewed the latest weekly Market Wrap, and the capital flows prove us overwhelmingly right. Despite the "panic" over the CPI and rates, the report confirms that institutional investors took advantage of every dip to aggressively repurchase AI infrastructure. Furthermore, I highlight two points that validate our matrix at 'El Fortín': AI spending is expanding towards data centre cooling (confirming our excellent position in Vertiv $VRT (Vertiv Holdings Co)). A rotation of capital towards enterprise AI software is anticipated, a sector where our giant Microsoft ($MSFT) leads absolutely. The macroeconomic noise is deafening, but the fundamentals of our companies remain intact. Ready for the rebound. Have a good weekend, everyone. 🛡️ ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: All content is educational and informational, reflecting the macroeconomic view and actual management of 'El Fortín'. Market projections are not absolute guarantees. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Your capital is at risk.
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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