🚨 FOMO Alert: Tesla’s 2025 Surge — Hype vs. Fundamentals
Since March, $TSLA (Tesla Motors, Inc.) has ripped from ~$222 to ~$410, briefly reclaiming the $1T club. The rally is real, but most of the fuel is AI/robotaxi narrative, macro tailwinds, and Musk-driven momentum, while the current P&L is still under pressure.
What’s happened 🕵️♂️
• Monster rebound: +~80% from March lows; +~19% just in early September.
• Catalysts: bullish analyst notes, “easier Fed” hopes, and Elon’s $1B personal buy — his first since 2020 — turbocharged sentiment.
The numbers (why the debate exists) 📊
• Q1–Q2 2025: Revenue and deliveries down YoY; margins compressed after price cuts; earnings weaker vs. 2024.
Market looked past it because 🙈:
• Deliveries beat lowered expectations,
• Margins weren’t as bad as feared,
• Management guided to a stronger 2H.
What’s really powering the move 🚀
• Macro: Lower-rate hopes boost long-duration growth stocks.
• AI & autonomy narrative: Robotaxis, FSD, and Optimus keep the imagination on fire. (The big bet!! 💰)
• Momentum & positioning: Shorts covering + retail enthusiasm = self-reinforcing bid.
• Musk effect: The proposed mega pay package + insider buy signal he’s “all in,” stoking FOMO.
Valuation reality check
• TSLA trades more like a high-growth AI 🤖 platform than a carmaker:
• P/E and P/S far above autos (BYD, Toyota) and even many mega-cap tech names.
• Price assumes big success in autonomy/robotics/energy on top of EV scale.
What I’m watching next
• Margin stabilization as price wars cool.
• 2H deliveries vs. the 1.65M goal.
• Real-world proof on robotaxi/FSD progress (beyond demos).
• Whether the story starts showing up in free cash flow and operating leverage.
Bottom line: The 2025 run is a classic case of story > spreadsheet — for now. If the execution catches up to the expectations, the bull story endures. If not, today’s FOMO can flip fast. Trade the momentum, invest in the milestones.... Show More
True, just wait and watch the game. I would love to short it but musk fans are crazy they dont care about fundamentals so risky to short it but if someone still would love to do it, my advice do it without leverage guys. ... Show More
yo el que no la tenga no la compraría ya...por fundamentales no se sostiene estas valoraciones,pero enhorabuena al que la tenga en cartera!!saludos jordi!!... Show More Translate
We use our own and third-party cookies on our websites to enhance your experience, analyze traffic, and for security and marketing. For more info, see our Cookie Policy or go to Manage Settings.
Privacy Preference Center
When you visit any website, it may store or retrieve information on your browser, mostly in the form of cookies. This information might be about you, your preferences or your device and is mostly used to make the site work as you expect it to. The information does not usually directly identify you, but it can give you a more personalized web experience. Because we respect your right to privacy, you can choose not to allow some types of cookies. Click on the different category headings to find out more and change our default settings. However, blocking some types of cookies may impact your experience of the site and the services we are able to offer.
More information
Manage Consent Preferences
Strictly Necessary Cookies
Always Active
These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched off in our systems. They are usually only set in response to actions made by you which amount to a request for services, such as setting your privacy preferences, logging in or filling in forms. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work. These cookies do not store any personally identifiable information.
Performance Cookies
These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. All information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. If you do not allow these cookies we will not know when you have visited our site, and will not be able to monitor its performance.
Functional Cookies
These cookies enable the website to provide enhanced functionality and personalisation. They may be set by us or by third party providers whose services we have added to our pages. If you do not allow these cookies then some or all of these services may not function properly.
Targeting Cookies
These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. They may be used by those companies to build a profile of your interests and show you relevant adverts on other sites. They do not store directly personal information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet device. If you do not allow these cookies, you will experience less targeted advertising.
Cookie List
label
ConsentLeg.Interest
label
label
label
Wed Nov 12 2025 21:09:46 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
