Wesley Nolte
United Kingdom
๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐— ๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—–๐—”๐——๐—ข๐—Ÿ๐—œ๐—•๐—ฅ๐—˜: ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—”๐—บ'๐˜€ ๐—”๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜‡๐—ผ๐—ป + ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐˜†๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—น + ๐—™๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐˜… $MELI (MercadoLibre Inc) is Latin Americaโ€™s e-commerce and fintech behemoth. It's a comprehensive mix of marketplace, payments, credit, and logistics all in one. Itโ€™s a proven compounder with a strong record of execution even through volatile macro cycles. ๐™๐™๐™š ๐™ˆ๐™ค๐™–๐™ฉโ€จ MELI's moat is built on three pillars: 1. A vast logistics network thatโ€™s hard to replicate 2. A deeply integrated fintech arm (payment & credit) locking in users 3. Strong network effects. More marketplace buyers attract more sellers and vice versa Together these create a serious competitive fortress. ๐™๐™๐™š ๐™๐™ž๐™จ๐™ ๐™จโ€จ Macro and currency volatility (Argentina), inflation (again Argentina), and political risk (not only Argentina) can weigh on the business and therefore the stock. Also, competition from $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc) , $BABA (Alibaba-ADR) and local rivals is heating up. $MELI tends to go heavy on reinvestment which also means short-term margins can wobble. But the business has weathered this all and kept growing for over 20 years. ๐˜ผ ๐™‰๐™ค๐™ฉ๐™š ๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™€๐™–๐™ง๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ๐™จ & ๐™‘๐™ค๐™ก๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ก๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ฎ Q3 2025 revenue hit $ 7.4B (+39% YoY), fintech credit up +83%, but with some margin pressure from logistics and insane local inflation. Shares pulled back post-earnings which is a classic and frequent short-term reaction for MELI. Over the past year the stock ranged from USD1650 โ€“ USD 2645. You should expect swings. ๐™๐™๐™š ๐™Š๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ค๐™  Latin Americaโ€™s ecommerce and fintech penetration is still low, giving $MELI a long runway. Analysts expect mid-20s % revenue and profit growth over the next few years. MELI's valuation (forward PE 30-35x) is rich but justified by growth (historic and current). ๐™๐™๐™š ๐˜ฝ๐™ค๐™ฉ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™ข ๐™‡๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™š โ€จItโ€™s volatile, founder-led, and dominant in a region thatโ€™s still early in its digital transformation. Iโ€™ve been adding on weakness. Volatility here is the price of admission for long-term upside.
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