Gaetano Bonfiglio
π–π„π„πŠπ‹π˜ πŽπ”π“π‹πŽπŽπŠ Welcome to our weekly outlook. We face a split macroeconomic landscape: the US shows a 73% stagflation probability, while European indicators hint at 74% reflation. Global sentiment is neutral. Through active rotational management, I track macro data to capture market inefficiencies while firmly protecting our capital. π–π„π„πŠπ‹π˜ π„π‚πŽππŽπŒπˆπ‚ 𝐂𝐀𝐋𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐀𝐑 The 5 key events I am watching from June 29 to July 5, 2026: β€’ UK Quarterly GDP (06/30): Gauges British economic growth; a slowdown will increase volatility across European equities. β€’ Germany CPI (06/30): Measures German inflation; higher-than-expected data will signal persistent price pressures for the ECB. β€’ US ISM Manufacturing PMI (07/01): Assesses US industrial health; a contraction will exacerbate global stagflation fears. β€’ Speech by C. Lagarde (07/01): Comments from the ECB President will provide vital clues on interest rate paths. β€’ US Non-Farm Payrolls (07/02): Key employment metrics that will heavily influence the Federal Reserve's monetary stance. ππŽπ‘π“π…πŽπ‹πˆπŽ πˆπŒππ€π‚π“ European data will drive price action on holdings like $DB1.DE (Deutsche Boerse AG) and $UN0.DE (Uniper SE) . In the US, PMI and NFP will test our high-growth exposure like $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) , $AVGO (Broadcom Inc) , and $CRWD (Crowdstrike Holdings) , alongside $BTC . Supported by defensive assets including $GOLD and cash, we are fully prepared to navigate volatility and execute strategic rotations. Best, Gae (@GaetanoBonfiglio)
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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