Carl Nilsson @Duntan123: "🚀 Second Chances Don’t Come..."

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🚀 Second Chances Don’t Come Often — but $MSTR (Strategy Inc) Might Just Be One of Them Back last year, I thought I had largely missed the boat on $MSTR — only grabbing about a 60% profit on a company with brilliant fundamentals. But now, it looks more and more like it’s giving us a second chance. This is my largest single-stock exposure, and for good reason. 💡 The Fundamentals MicroStrategy is no longer just a software company — it’s effectively a hybrid between a business intelligence firm and a Bitcoin holding vehicle. Under Michael Saylor’s leadership, the company has transformed its balance sheet into one of the most direct, publicly listed exposures to Bitcoin anywhere. At current prices, $MSTR holds over 200,000 $BTC (including recent buys), which means that as Bitcoin remains below its all-time highs, the company’s embedded value is still significantly underpriced. The premium of $MSTR’s market cap to its Bitcoin holdings has narrowed, historically a sign of accumulation zones rather than euphoria. Operationally, MicroStrategy remains sound — generating enough revenue to service debt and continue its Bitcoin strategy sustainably. That makes it more than just a “proxy for Bitcoin” — it’s a strategically leveraged play with real cash flow behind it. 📊 The Technical Picture Technically, $MSTR has been consolidating in the $240–$280 range, after a strong rally earlier this year. RSI is forming a bullish divergence, rising even as price has gone sideways — a classic early signal of renewed momentum. The 50-day moving average is flattening, suggesting a potential base is forming. Volume has been picking up slightly on green days, indicating early accumulation rather than broad distribution. If we can break decisively above $280, that opens the path toward $320–$340, where the next resistance cluster lies. Conversely, if the stock were to drop below $240 support, it could trigger a short-term correction — but that would, in my view, be a great opportunity to buy even more. Nothing in the broader macro picture suggests a long-term breakdown. 🌐 Tying It Together: The Crypto Liquidity Cycle As I’ve discussed in previous posts, crypto sits at the end of the liquidity chain. Gold and silver tend to move first as liquidity expectations shift, followed by tech and crypto as policy actually eases. We’re entering that transition again. Inflation is cooling, central banks are starting to hint at rate cuts, and liquidity is slowly flowing back into risk assets. This is where assets like Bitcoin — and by extension, $MSTR — tend to outperform. MicroStrategy is essentially a leveraged exposure to the next phase of the liquidity cycle — but with the added safety of being a regulated equity with operational earnings. 🧭 The Big Picture I remain long-term bullish on both tech and crypto — and $MSTR stands right at the intersection of the two. The short term could still bring some choppiness or minor downside, but in the broader context, this is exactly the kind of setup I look for: strong fundamentals, constructive technicals, and macro alignment. So yes — I may have “missed the boat” once, but this time I’m very much on deck and ready for the next leg higher. 💬 As always, feel free to comment below — and don’t forget to like or copy if you want to join me on this macro journey 🌍 Have a great start to the week, Jonathan $SPX500 $NSDQ100

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Strategy Inc

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