Davide Marcotti
Davide Marcotti
United Arab Emirates
Good morning legends β˜€οΈ Weed out the noise. Here's your selection of the real key market movers of the last 24 hours 🌍 Macro πŸ”΄ June retail sales missed consensus at just 0.2% month-over-month versus 0.3% expected, highlighting consumer fatigue as inflation and rates stay elevated. πŸ”΄ WTI $OIL jumped over 4% to $73.52 after Trump announced the U.S. is striking Iranian targets for the fourth straight day, reigniting Middle East supply fears. 🟒 June retail sales came in lighter than expected but some elements of the report impressed, giving the Fed wiggle room on its next move at the July 30-31 meeting. πŸ”΄πŸ”΄ The ECB raised rates by 25 basis points on June 11, bringing the deposit facility to 2.25% as the war in the Middle East generates fresh inflation pressures across Europe. 🟒 Initial jobless claims came in at 215,000, below expectations of 220,000 and well below the 30-year median of over 300,000, signaling the labor market remains tight. 🟒 Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said the FOMC will make a decision on whether to raise interest rates in four weeks' time, keeping the door open for either outcome as inflation runs too hot. πŸ“ˆ Crypto 🟒 Tether froze $131 million after the U.S. added four Iran central bank crypto wallets to sanctions, showing stablecoin issuers are willing to act as enforcement tools for Washington. 🟒 Citadel Securities invested $400 million in Crypto.com, valuing the exchange at $20 billion in its first institutional funding round to fuel expansion into tokenized securities and derivatives. 🟒 Visa launched a stablecoin platform that lets banks and fintechs issue, manage and settle digital dollars through its payments network, taking aim at Circle and backing Open USD. 🟒 Bitcoin $BTC rallied to a three-week high of $65,200 on softer-than-expected inflation data, easing fears that the Fed would tighten further and crush liquidity. πŸ”΄ Bitcoin pulled back to $64,000 after hitting a monthly high as fresh Iranian strikes on U.S. bases sent crypto lower, with bears taking control across most tokens. 🟒 The U.S. Senate unanimously opposed clemency for FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried months after Trump pardoned other major crypto figures including CZ and Ross Ulbricht, drawing a clear line. 🏦 TradFi πŸ”΄πŸ”΄ Taiwan Semiconductor announced a 77% annual earnings gain only to see shares fall more than 4%, hurting semiconductors as investors question whether AI capex can justify lofty valuations. πŸ”΄ The Nasdaq $NSDQ100 dropped 1.6% on Thursday as chipmakers sold off hard despite strong earnings, signaling that the bar for AI stocks is absurdly high. πŸ”΄ Netflix posted mixed Q2 results with revenue of $12.56 billion versus $12.58 billion expected, and the stock dropped in extended hours after its Q3 outlook fell short of forecasts. πŸ”΄ United Airlines beat earnings estimates but issued negative Q3 guidance as fuel costs climb, another sign that oil's surge is biting into margins across sectors. 🟒 Abbott Labs soared almost 4% after beating EPS estimates and raising its fiscal 2026 guidance, proving that fundamentals still matter when you deliver. πŸ”΄ SpaceX fell below its IPO price of $135 for the first time amid concerns about launch competition from Chinese firms and a large rise in shares available to trade by early August. πŸ€– AI & Tech πŸ”΄ Taiwan Semiconductor's strong earnings preceded a pullback in the sector for the second time in three days, a potentially ominous sign as tech results accelerate and investors demand perfection. πŸ”΄ OpenAI may delay its IPO to 2027 to protect a $1 trillion valuation, signaling caution on stretched AI valuations and weighing on the entire sector as the biggest name blinks. 🟒 Washington began issuing licenses for Nvidia $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) to sell its H20 chips in China again, reopening a key market the U.S. had blocked. βœ… in the portfolio 🟠 Chipmakers are caught between stellar earnings and brutal selloffs as the market questions whether hyperscalers can sustain $80 billion-plus annual capex without demonstrating AI returns soon. 🟒 Microsoft, Meta $META (Meta Platforms Inc), Amazon, and Alphabet report earnings in late July, and strong AI spending plans would point straight to more Nvidia chip orders. βœ… in the portfolio 🟒 Nvidia unveiled a new AI model and expanded Japan's physical AI ecosystem, continuing its strategy of locking in customers through software and partnerships beyond pure hardware. βœ… in the portfolio The setup is binary β€” either hyperscalers reaffirm their AI spending in late July or this rally evaporates fast. @Tori , anything else I have missed? Stay sharp - follow if you want the key market movers in your feed every morning πŸ™
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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