Atze Bijker
Netherlands
๐—”๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€: ๐—œโ€™๐—บ ๐—ก๐—ข๐—ง ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด! If you are still in doubt what to do with $AAPL (Apple) before they release their earnings, then read below: ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜„๐˜€ iPhone 17 sales are up 14% in the first 10 days vs. iPhone 16 in the US and China. Thatโ€™s strong, as iPhone is Appleโ€™s key product. ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ๐˜€ First, China revenue has been declining due to rising local competition. Q2 showed a rebound โ€” that trend must continue. Second, Tariffs are a threat, with Apple manufacturing in China and India. Third, Valuation: Apple is near its 52-week high. Entering now adds downside risk. ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ: The 14% jump in iPhone 17 sales is encouraging, especially in key markets like China and the US. But with Apple trading near its 52-week high, much of that optimism could already be reflected in the price. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—–๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ. Recent quarters showed some recovery in Chinese revenue, but that trend needs to continue. Any sign of weakness could weigh heavily on investor sentiment, especially given rising competition and geopolitical tensions. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€: ๐—›๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด? If you're already in Apple long-term, thereโ€™s little reason to panic โ€” the fundamentals are strong. But brace for short-term volatility. ๐—•๐˜‚๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„? Risky. The stock is priced for perfection, and even solid earnings may not be enough to push it higher. ๐—ฆ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด? Only if you expect major disappointment in China numbers or guidance. Otherwise, downside could be limited. ๐—ช๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด? Thatโ€™s my play. I have not invested in the company and I am not planning to. Risk is too high to step in, so Iโ€™ll let it play out. Follow me for more of these breakdowns. ๐—œโ€™๐—บ ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐˜‚๐—ฝ ๐Ÿฑ๐Ÿญ% ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜†๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ ๐ŸŸขโœ… $META (Meta Platforms Inc) $MSFT (Microsoft) $GOOGL (Alphabet Inc Class A) $AMZN (Amazon.com Inc)
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