๐๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐๐ค ๐๐ก๐๐๐: ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ญ ๐ ๐๐๐ง๐ญ๐ ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ? ๐ ๐
The first week of December was mostly positive for the markets. Investors are now strongly expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its final meeting of the year. It started with some volatility after the Bank of Japan hinted at raising rates, but markets calmed quickly. Tech stocks then took the lead with several days of steady gains.
In the US, economic data was mixed, but inflation stayed low enough to support a possible rate cut. In Europe, lower inflation supported the markets, while in Asia the focus stayed on Japan, where the central bank may tighten policy for the first time in more than a decade.
๐๐๐: ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ค๐๐๐ฉ ๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐บ๐ธ
US indexes ended the week higher. The Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 gained almost one percent, while the S&P 500 rose slightly less.
Expectations for a Fed rate cut jumped sharply: from 30 % in mid November to nearly 90 % by the end of last week.
This shift happened after employers cut the most jobs since 2023, while jobless claims fell to their lowest level in three years. The labor market data sends mixed signals, which makes the Fedโs decision more complicated: cut rates now or wait for clearer signs of weakness.
Inflation also helped the case for a rate cut. Core PCE inflation fell to 2.8 percent, and expectations for future inflation dropped to their lowest level this year. Tech stocks performed best once again. Strong demand for AI infrastructure continues to support companies in semiconductors and data centers.
๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐: ๐๐จ๐ฐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ช๐บ
European markets ended the week higher, with the STOXX Europe 600 rising about half a percent. Inflation stayed close to the ECBโs target, with the annual rate rising slightly to 2.2 percent from 2.1 percent in October. Rate cuts are not expected in the short term.
๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ง: ๐๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ข๐ซ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ค๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ฏ๐ต
In Japan, expectations are growing that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates in December for the first time since 2007. Bond yields have moved sharply higher, increasing pressure on Japanโs already high debt levels. Japan remains important for global markets, especially because these moves could influence carry trades like those seen in summer 2024.
๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ ๐
Salesforce โ shares rose after strong earnings and a raised outlook.
Meta โ up after planned cost cuts in the metaverse division.
Tesla โ lower European sales and continued investment in new development projects.
Amazon โ record holiday sales but AWS capacity limits remain an issue.
Ulta Beauty โ shares jumped after raising guidance and keeping strong margins.
Hims & Hers โ rose after expanding into Canada ahead of generic semaglutide opportunities.
American Eagle โ strong earnings and successful marketing campaigns lifted the stock.
Kroger โ fell after reporting weaker results and lower sales.
Five Below โ beat earnings expectations by a wide margin.
Victoriaโs Secret โ reported its strongest sales growth in four years.
๐๐ก๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ค ๐ฎ
The main event will be the Fedโs rate decision. A cut is already priced in, but the key will be the tone of the Fedโs message: Will they signal more cuts ahead, or a more careful approach? The start of the holiday shopping season will also be important. It will show whether consumers are still spending confidently or becoming more cautious.
Have a nice week ahead!
Nezatron โจ
$NSDQ100$SPX500$DJ30... Show More
The market is fully focused on the Fed's rate cut decision, now almost 90% priced in. The mixed jobs data means the Fed's tone on future cuts is key for the Santa Claus Rally. Great to see $CRM (Salesforce Inc) and $FIVE (Five Below Inc) strong. Everything depends on the Fed's guidance ๐... Show More
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Sat Feb 14 2026 12:56:48 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
