Alberto Poli
๐Ÿ”‘๐™๐™๐™š ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™š๐™  ๐™˜๐™ก๐™ค๐™จ๐™š๐™จ ๐™ฌ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™– ๐™ ๐™š๐™ฎ ๐™จ๐™๐™ž๐™›๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™ข๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™–๐™ง๐™ฎ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™˜๐™ฎ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™จ ๐ŸฆThe Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 bps, bringing the target range to 4.0%โ€“4.25%, its first move of 2025. Chair Jerome Powell called it a โ€œrisk-managementโ€ step, signaling a change in priorities: less focus on inflation and greater attention to a softening labor market. The board remains split: 9 members see two more cuts this year, while 6 expect no further moves. Projections show core inflation still above 3% and 2025 growth slightly revised higher. ๐Ÿ“Š ๐˜ฝ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™™๐™จ Reaction matched many expectations. Despite the cut, long-term yields climbedโ€”the 10-year Treasury above 4.1%, the 30-year near 4.8%. Investors fear premature easing with inflation still high, triggering bond selling and a rise in yields, raising the risk of a yield-curve steepening. ๐Ÿ’ต ๐™๐™ค๐™ง๐™š๐™ญ & ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ข๐™ข๐™ค๐™™๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ: The dollar initially slipped but remains volatile. The outlook stays dovish, supporting the euro and gold if labor data continue to weaken. ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐™€๐™ฆ๐™ช๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ: The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 hit new record highs even as large funds remain heavily short. Retail traders going increasingly long set the stage for potentially violent short squeezes, as shorts may be forced to buy back shares to cap losses. ๐Ÿš€ ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™–๐™ฉ๐™š ๐™จ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ฉ๐™ก๐™ž๐™œ๐™๐™ฉ: โ€ข Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel to strengthen the semiconductor supply chain and AI expansion. โ€ข Commodity giant Mercuria launched physical uranium trading, betting on demand that the World Nuclear Association expects to double by 2040. โš›๏ธ $URA (Global X Uranium ETF) Defensive institutional positioning still fuels the equity rally. As long as macro data hold up, markets remain risk-on, though a sudden return to low growth remains the key risk. ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐˜ฟ๐™ค๐™ฃโ€™๐™ฉ ๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™œ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ฎ ๐™ข๐™ฎ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค Thank you for your support! $SPX500 $GOLD $TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF )
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