Yun Jui Tsai
@YunRueiTsai ๐Ÿš€ All-time high 2026 YTD Return: +57.26% Goal :80% $NSDQ100 YTD:21.7% $SPX500 YTD:11.18% AVGO earnings preview โ€” key numbers only. Market expectation: Revenue: around $22B Revenue growth: about +47% YoY Adjusted EPS: around $2.39 Implied earnings move: around ยฑ9% Company guidance: Q2 AI semiconductor revenue: $10.7B Q2 revenue: $22B Adjusted EBITDA margin: around 68% Last quarter: Total revenue: $19.3B AI revenue: $8.4B AI revenue growth: +106% YoY Adjusted EBITDA: $13.1B Adjusted EBITDA margin: 68% Free cash flow: $8.0B Free cash flow margin: about 41% Peer benchmark: NVDA data center revenue: $75.2B, +92% YoY AVGO Q1 AI revenue: $8.4B AVGO Q2 AI revenue guidance: $10.7B AMD data center revenue: $5.8B, +57% YoY MRVL data center revenue: about $1.8B MRVL impact: MRVL surged after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang highlighted its AI infrastructure potential. This matters for AVGO because it raises market attention on: Custom AI chips AI networking Optical communication Silicon photonics Data center interconnect But it also raises the bar for AVGO earnings. What I think CEO / management will be judged on: AI revenue Can AI semiconductor revenue beat the $10.7B guidance? Customer demand Are hyperscaler custom AI chip orders expanding? Networking Is AI networking still accelerating? Optical communication Is optical networking becoming a larger growth driver? Margin Can adjusted EBITDA margin stay around 68% or improve? Guidance Does management guide above current expectations? Customer concentration Is growth still concentrated in a few large cloud customers, or broadening? Token economics Are custom AI chips helping customers improve inference cost and token generation efficiency? My key checkpoint: Revenue growth alone is not enough. The stronger signal would be: AI revenue above $10.7B Margin staying near or above 68% Stronger forward guidance More detail on custom chips, networking, and optical communication Risk: Expectations are already high after MRVLโ€™s move. If AVGO only meets expectations without stronger guidance or margin improvement, the stock may still be volatile.AVGO earnings preview โ€” key numbers only. Market expectation: Revenue: around $22B Revenue growth: about +47% YoY Adjusted EPS: around $2.39 Implied earnings move: around ยฑ9% Company guidance: Q2 AI semiconductor revenue: $10.7B Q2 revenue: $22B Adjusted EBITDA margin: around 68% Last quarter: Total revenue: $19.3B AI revenue: $8.4B AI revenue growth: +106% YoY Adjusted EBITDA: $13.1B Adjusted EBITDA margin: 68% Free cash flow: $8.0B Free cash flow margin: about 41% Peer benchmark: NVDA data center revenue: $75.2B, +92% YoY AVGO Q1 AI revenue: $8.4B AVGO Q2 AI revenue guidance: $10.7B AMD data center revenue: $5.8B, +57% YoY MRVL data center revenue: about $1.8B MRVL impact: MRVL surged after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang highlighted its AI infrastructure potential. This matters for AVGO because it raises market attention on: Custom AI chips AI networking Optical communication Silicon photonics Data center interconnect But it also raises the bar for AVGO earnings. What I think CEO / management will be judged on: AI revenue Can AI semiconductor revenue beat the $10.7B guidance? Customer demand Are hyperscaler custom AI chip orders expanding? Networking Is AI networking still accelerating? Optical communication Is optical networking becoming a larger growth driver? Margin Can adjusted EBITDA margin stay around 68% or improve? Guidance Does management guide above current expectations? Customer concentration Is growth still concentrated in a few large cloud customers, or broadening? Token economics Are custom AI chips helping customers improve inference cost and token generation efficiency? My key checkpoint: Revenue growth alone is not enough. The stronger signal would be: AI revenue above $10.7B Margin staying near or above 68% Stronger forward guidance More detail on custom chips, networking, and optical communication Risk: Expectations are already high after MRVLโ€™s move. If AVGO only meets expectations without stronger guidance or margin improvement, the stock may still be volatile. Who will be the king of optical communication / AI networking? $MRVL (Marvell Technology Group Ltd) $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) $LITE (Lumentum Holdings Inc) $AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc) $COHR (Coherent Corp) $GLW (Corning Inc)
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
AVGO custom chips + networking
100.00%
MRVL / optical supply
100.00%