TobiasGoris
Three of the most interesting companies in the renewable sector are the often overlooked $AMRC (Ameresco Inc) $SCATC.OL (Scatec ASA) and $GRE.MC (Grenergy Renovables S.A.) - which might profit from the AI hype in the future as major renewable energy project planning companies. All three are in the same sector and have a similar market cap of 1.4 - 2 billion Eur. All of them were founded in the 2000s and all are of intermediate size with 500 to 1500 employees. The first one, Ameresco, suffered - as a US company - extremely from the trump administration in both potential cutting of (gov) renewable projects and potential tariffs, went down from about 40 to 10 USD in 4 months (Oct 24 to Feb 25). A bottom was formed in April and an extreme rally over three months pushed it back to 40 this month. That went up a bit quick for my taste, so I'm on hold right now (after I sold a bit the past two weeks), but it still has some potential, as the backlog is strong (about 5 billion!!). Revenue is large with approaching 1.5 to 2 millions USD the past years, but reaching also a limit in 23 and 24, so very exciting to know this year's result, which might, but more likely cannot top the best year, 2022... The second one, Grenergy, a Spanish company has a lower market cap, but not by much - surprisingly, since the company is smaller in most other regards, revenue, workers, backlog, etc. - making it leaner. Still, it's price ramped up quite a lot recently, without a drop back, making me a bit cautious. Unfortunately, I missed the opportunity of buying at around 50 earlier this year. Standing on the side lines, but I'd really love to have this in my portfolio. What is a bit weird: the very low operational costs and the resulting relatively high margin, which is not standard for such companies... The company is mostly involved in Latin America, making it very attractive, since most other comparable companies are involved in other markets. The company grew a lot from less than 100 million Eur in the past years to more than 500 million last year, suggesting way more growth ahead - but I also expect a hiccup at one point, maybe next year. $SCATC.OL is special in that it is the most stable of the three, after it brutally fell from 300 NOK (2020/21) to less than 100 in 2022. Since then the stock price was relaxing between 70 and 110 NOK, resulting in a yearly high of about 106. It grew a bit slower compared to the other two, but also more steadily from a quarter million Eur in 2020 doubling to a bit more than 400 million in 2024. Well likely see a similar result this year, though with a potential of more net profit. The interesting thing here is that due to the higher stability, scatec might offer a dividend again at some point. While it's a bit too high for me to issue a clear buy, it's for sure worth a look and probably my favorite among the three - finally also because they have a very diverse portfolio with projects in Eastern Europe, Asia and Africa. At least two of the companies should be in your portfolio when you're interested in renewables. Ameresco is the one with the biggest upside potential, but also the most risky one, being exposed to the US market. Currently, Ameresco and scatec are around equally weighted in my portfolio, so there's potential to cut them and buy into $GRE.MC if it drops at one point.
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