Olaf Rafal Sawajner
πŸ“Š PepsiCo $PEP (PepsiCo) Q3 Update: Mixed Signals, Global Growth Cushions U.S. Weakness πŸ₯€πŸŒ PepsiCo delivered better-than-expected Q3 results, but the report shows both strength and vulnerability beneath the surface πŸ‘‡ πŸ”Ή Highlights: πŸ’° EPS (adjusted): $ 2.29 vs. $ 2.26 expected βœ… πŸ’΅ Revenue: $ 23.94B vs. $ 23.83B expected βœ… πŸ“‰ Net income: $ 2.6B (down from $ 2.93B YoY) 🌐 Organic revenue: +1.3% 🍟 Global volume: -1% overall (Food -1%, Beverages -1%) πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ North America: Food volume -4%, Beverages -3% ⚠️ While international growth helped offset weakness in the U.S., the drop in volumes highlights a concerning trend β€” consumers are cutting back, possibly due to higher prices and changing preferences. The company’s brand reinvestments and cost cuts indicate management knows it must regain volume momentum. πŸ“ˆ Analyst take: PepsiCo’s results show resilience in pricing power and global diversification, but stagnating demand in core markets remains a red flag 🚨. Margins are being maintained through pricing rather than volume β€” a strategy that has limits if inflation cools and consumers trade down. πŸ‘€ Leadership update: CFO Jamie Caulfield will retire, with Steve Schmitt (from Walmart U.S.) stepping in on Nov 10 β€” potentially signaling a stronger focus on operational efficiency and cost management going forward. πŸ“Š Outlook: FY guidance unchanged: flat EPS in constant currency and low single-digit organic growth. Long-term investors may still find value if PepsiCo successfully stabilizes its North American performance. πŸ’¬ Our view: PepsiCo remains a solid defensive play with global reach, but in the short term, the market may react cautiously to volume contraction and executive transition risk. For traders β€” expect sideways movement or mild correction unless next quarter shows a real volume rebound.
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