Andre Cruz Nogueira
Edited
๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐‘๐ž๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ โ€“ ๐‚๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ (๐€๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“) ๐ˆ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง I am ๐€๐ง๐๐ซรฉ ๐‚๐ซ๐ฎ๐ณ, a CISI-certified Champion Popular Investor on eToro. Since 2019, I've achieved over ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ% ๐ซ๐ž๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐ฌ for my copiers, using a multi-asset strategy focused on quality, intrinsic value, and proactive risk management. Follow my journey at [diamondbull.pro](diamondbull.pro). In this report, I provide an in-depth analysis of my current portfolio, highlighting my top five positions and how I'm strategically benefiting from the recent depreciation of the U.S. dollar. --- ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐จ ๐€๐ฅ๐ฅ๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง My primary positions are currently: * ๐“๐‹๐“ (๐Ÿ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ‘%) โ€“ iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds. * ๐๐ˆ๐ƒ๐” (๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—.๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ”%) โ€“ Baidu, Inc. - ADR, a technology leader and pioneer in artificial intelligence in China. * ๐•๐Ž๐–.๐ƒ๐„ (๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’%) โ€“ Volkswagen AG, leading German innovator in electric vehicles. * ๐“๐Œ๐… (๐Ÿ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ%) โ€“ Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x, leveraged ETF exposure to U.S. Treasury bonds. * ๐”๐‡๐‘.๐™๐” (๐Ÿ’.๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ%) โ€“ The Swatch Group SA โ€“ B Shares, Swiss luxury group with iconic brands like Omega and Swatch. *Note: The remainder of the portfolio is distributed among complementary technology assets and cash.* --- ๐ˆ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐œ ๐•๐š๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ ๐›๐ฒ ๐€๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐“๐‹๐“ - iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF * ๐Ž๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ: Benefits from a macroeconomic environment of declining interest rates. * ๐‚๐š๐ญ๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฌ: Potential Fed rate cuts and increased global demand for safe-haven assets. * ๐ƒ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ: USD depreciation enhances global relative attractiveness. ๐Ÿš€ ๐๐ˆ๐ƒ๐” - Baidu, Inc. * ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ฌ: 7% growth in core business and 42% growth in AI cloud services. * ๐ˆ๐ง๐ง๐จ๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: Launch of Ernie 4.5 and Ernie X1, leaders in generative AI. * ๐€๐ญ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐•๐š๐ฅ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง (๐‹๐“๐Œ ๐„๐๐’): Trading at only 8.78 times earnings, significant upside compared to tech peers (Tesla: 185.94x). * ๐ƒ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ: A weaker dollar facilitates global fund reallocation towards emerging markets with strong fundamentals and positive domestic market outlooks. ๐Ÿš— ๐•๐Ž๐–.๐ƒ๐„ - Volkswagen AG * ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก: European leader in electrification, with EV orders growing by 19%. * ๐“๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง: Operating margin target of 4%-5%; current valuation multiples do not fully reflect potential. * ๐ƒ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ: Dollar depreciation enhances book value and increases USD-reported earnings, boosting attractiveness for foreign investors. Additionally, lower U.S. interest rates combined with continued dollar depreciation against the euro make Volkswagenโ€™s dividend even more appealing to international investors. ๐Ÿ“Š ๐“๐Œ๐… - Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x * ๐€๐๐ฏ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ ๐ž: 3x leveraged exposure to long-term Treasury bonds, maximizing return potential in declining rate environments. * ๐‚๐š๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: Moderate exposure (12%) due to inherent leverage risks. * ๐ƒ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ: Potential inflow of foreign capital into U.S. bonds. โŒš๏ธ ๐”๐‡๐‘.๐™๐” - The Swatch Group SA โ€“ B Shares * ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ฌ: Iconic brands with strong liquidity (CHF 1,091 million). * ๐‘๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ: Double-digit sales growth in key markets (U.S., India). * ๐ˆ๐ง๐ง๐จ๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: Upcoming launch of AI-driven watch customization. * ๐ƒ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ: Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency enhances value for USD-based investors. --- ๐†๐ฅ๐จ๐›๐š๐ฅ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐œ ๐•๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐‘๐จ๐ฅ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ƒ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ The portfolio strategically combines: * ๐ƒ๐ž๐Ÿ๐ž๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐’๐š๐Ÿ๐ž-๐‡๐š๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐€๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ๐ฌ: TLT and TMF (protection and yield in declining interest rate environments). * ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐ฅ ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐€๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ๐ฌ: BIDU (disruptive technology) and Volkswagen (EV innovation). * ๐‹๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐†๐จ๐จ๐๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐‘๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ: Swatch (innovation, financial resilience). Current USD depreciation significantly enhances the portfolio by increasing international asset values and attracting foreign capital. --- ๐“๐ก๐š๐ง๐ค ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ! ๐€๐ง๐๐ซรฉ ๐‚๐ซ๐ฎ๐ณ ๐‚๐ก๐š๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐จ๐ง ๐ž๐“๐จ๐ซ๐จ [diamondbull.pro](diamondbull.pro) $TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ) $TMF (Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x Shares) $BIDU (Baidu, Inc.-ADR) $VOW.DE (VOLKSWAGEN AG)