AlexandrKudin
THE U.S.MARKET 🇺🇸 Yesterday, the major indices ended the day lower: the S&P 500 fell 1.78%, the Dow Jones dropped 0.99%, and the Nasdaq declined 2.61%. Investors sold off technology stocks following Marvell’s earnings report ( MRVL). Concerns over tariff risks also persisted. - Donald Trump temporarily exempted goods from Mexico and Canada covered by the USMCA from the 25% tariffs, delaying their implementation until April 2. This decision marked a sharp reversal from the administration’s initial announcement of the largest tariff hike in a century. - The White House justified the move by citing a desire to avoid disruptions in the auto industry. However, Trump warned that the exemptions would not be extended and threatened to impose reciprocal tariffs on other countries. The decision led to an appreciation in the Canadian and Mexican currencies and prompted Ottawa to suspend its retaliatory tariffs. Despite this, investor sentiment remained weak, and stock selling continued. 🤔 Trade policy is currently the primary force shaping market movements. Until there is more clarity on tariffs, navigating the market will remain challenging. However, I anticipate a much stronger recovery in the second half of the year. - 9 out of 11 S&P 500 sectors ended the day in negative territory. Technology stocks, particularly chipmakers and major tech firms, saw the steepest losses. Marvell’s ( MRVL) weaker-than-expected forecast weighed on sentiment, along with the release of Alibaba’s ( BABA) new AI model, comparable in performance to the DeepSeek R1. - Consumer discretionary stocks also declined, while investors took profits in the real estate sector following its recent rally. Defensive sectors, such as consumer staples, and the oil & gas sector saw gains, supported by a slight rebound in commodity prices. 📈 Today investors will be closely watching the February employment report, which could ease concerns about consumer strength. Bloomberg’s consensus forecast anticipates job growth of 160,000, following 143,000 in January. A survey by 22V Research revealed that 84% of respondents are paying closer attention to employment data than usual. Of those surveyed, 53% believe the data will trigger a “risk-off” reaction, 28% expect a “risk-on” response, and 19% foresee a “mixed” or minor impact. 📈 KEY ECONOMIC DATA RELEASES TODAY : 📌 🇺🇸 Average hourly earnings (m/m) (Feb) 📌 🇺🇸 Nonfarm payroll employment change (Feb) 📌 🇺🇸 Unemployment rate (Feb) 📌 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve monetary policy report 📌 🇺🇸 Speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell 📌 🇺🇸 Speech by Donald Trump HAVE A SUCCESSFUL DAY $SPX500 $NSDQ100 $DJ30 $GER40 $UK100
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