Peter Ahl
๐Ÿ’ฒ ๐™”๐™๐˜ฟ ๐™‹๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š: ๐Ÿต,๐Ÿฑ% ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐™‹๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ: ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฐ,๐Ÿฑ% ๐Ÿš€ ๐™‹๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ค๐™ง๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ: ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฎ,๐Ÿญ% Risk-score 4/10. ______________________________________________ ๐™’๐™š๐™š๐™ ๐™ก๐™ฎ ๐™ง๐™š๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ ๐™…๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™š ๐Ÿด-๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฎ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ ๐Ÿ‘‡ ๐Ÿ’น ๐™Š๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™–๐™ก๐™ก ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™Š๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ค๐™  Markets enter the new week with a more cautious tone after Fridayโ€™s sharp rotation out of technology and semiconductor shares. The underlying question has not changed: can strong AI-related earnings growth continue to offset higher interest rates, higher energy prices, and more demanding valuations? ๐™ˆ๐™ฎ ๐™ซ๐™ž๐™š๐™ฌ ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™๐™ง๐™ž๐™™๐™–๐™ฎ ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ค๐™ ๐™š๐™™ ๐™ข๐™ค๐™ง๐™š ๐™ก๐™ž๐™ ๐™š ๐™– ๐™ง๐™š๐™จ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™–๐™›๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง ๐™– ๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™ฎ ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ง๐™ช๐™ฃ ๐™ž๐™ฃ ๐™˜๐™๐™ž๐™ฅ ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™˜๐™ ๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™–๐™ฃ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™š๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐˜ผ๐™„ ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™ซ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™˜๐™ฎ๐™˜๐™ก๐™š. When expectations are high, even good companies can fall hard if the market wants even better news. That is part of investing in fast-growing areas, and it is why position sizing and valuation discipline matter. ๐Ÿ“Š ๐™‹๐™–๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™’๐™š๐™š๐™ '๐™จ ๐™ˆ๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐˜ผ๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ซ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ฎ The main market event last week was Fridayโ€™s sell-off, led by technology and semiconductors. Oil prices rose on Middle East tensions, inflation expectations moved higher, and Treasury yields climbed after the May U.S. jobs report showed stronger employment than expected, with 172,000 new jobs and unemployment unchanged at 4.3%. $AVGO (Broadcom Inc) also weighed on sentiment. The company remains a major AI beneficiary, but its latest guidance did not satisfy investors after a period when many chip shares had already moved sharply higher. This combination hit the Nasdaq and the semiconductor sector especially hard, while more defensive and energy-linked areas held up better. By Monday morning, the first signs of stabilization were visible in chip stocks, but the message from the market is clear. ๐˜ผ๐™„ ๐™ง๐™š๐™ข๐™–๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™จ ๐™– ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ง๐™›๐™ช๐™ก ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ข๐™š, ๐™—๐™ช๐™ฉ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฃ๐™ค ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™œ๐™š๐™ง ๐™ง๐™š๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ง๐™™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ž๐™ฉ ๐™ฌ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฉ ๐™ฆ๐™ช๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ซ๐™–๐™ก๐™ช๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ, ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™œ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™จ, ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™›๐™ช๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ง๐™š ๐™™๐™š๐™ข๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™. ๐Ÿ’ผ ๐™‹๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐˜ผ๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ซ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ฎ In the portfolio, ๐™„ ๐™–๐™™๐™™๐™š๐™™ ๐™›๐™ช๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ง ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง $NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™จ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ก๐™–๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™š๐™ , ๐™ฌ๐™๐™ž๐™˜๐™ ๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ฌ ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง ๐™จ๐™š๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™™-๐™ก๐™–๐™ง๐™œ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™๐™ค๐™ก๐™™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ. NVIDIA announced its RTX Spark platform at Computex, aimed at bringing powerful local AI capabilities to Windows laptops and desktop PCs. I also saw continued positive analyst support after Computex, including from Goldman Sachs. I still view Nvidia as attractively valued relative to its growth profile. The company remains central to the AI infrastructure buildout, but it is also expanding the opportunity into PCs, local AI agents, inference, software, and a broader computing ecosystem. At the same time, ๐™„ ๐™ง๐™š๐™™๐™ช๐™˜๐™š๐™™ ๐™ค๐™ช๐™ง ๐™š๐™ญ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™จ๐™ช๐™ง๐™š ๐™ฉ๐™ค $GLD (SPDR Gold) ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ $GDX (VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF) ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ง๐™š๐™–๐™ก๐™ž๐™ฏ๐™š๐™™ ๐™จ๐™ค๐™ข๐™š ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™›๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™จ. Gold can benefit from inflation fear and geopolitical uncertainty, so I donโ€™t view it as a weak asset class. However, if stronger labour data and higher oil prices push the Fed toward a more hawkish stance, higher real yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which pays no income. ๐™๐™๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™ข๐™–๐™ ๐™š๐™จ ๐™– ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ง ๐™œ๐™ค๐™ก๐™™ ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™ž๐™œ๐™๐™ฉ ๐™ง๐™š๐™–๐™จ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™–๐™—๐™ก๐™š ๐™–๐™›๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง ๐™– ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฅ๐™š๐™ง๐™ž๐™ค๐™™, ๐™ฌ๐™๐™ž๐™ก๐™š ๐™ ๐™š๐™š๐™ฅ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐™›๐™ค๐™˜๐™ช๐™จ๐™š๐™™ ๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™ก๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™œ-๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง๐™ข ๐™œ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™ค๐™ฅ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ. ๐Ÿ”ญ ๐™๐™๐™š ๐™’๐™š๐™š๐™  ๐˜ผ๐™๐™š๐™–๐™™ ๐™๐™๐™ž๐™จ ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™š๐™ , ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™ซ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™ง๐™จ ๐™ฌ๐™ž๐™ก๐™ก ๐™›๐™ค๐™˜๐™ช๐™จ ๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™.๐™Ž. ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ก๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ ๐™™๐™–๐™ฉ๐™–, with CPI due on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday. These reports matter because they will shape expectations before the next Federal Reserve meeting on June 16 to 17. The biggest market event may be the expected $SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp) IPO, with pricing reportedly planned for June 11 and trading on Nasdaq expected to start the following day. The company is aiming to raise $75 billion at a valuation of around $1.75 trillion, which would make it ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ก๐™–๐™ง๐™œ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™„๐™‹๐™Š ๐™š๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง. Even though SpaceX is not part of our portfolio, it could be highly relevant for market sentiment, retail investor appetite, the AI theme, and demand for long-duration growth assets. Earnings will also stay relevant, especially Oracle and Adobe, as investors look for more evidence of real demand behind AI, cloud, and software spending. ๐˜ผ๐™›๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง ๐™๐™ง๐™ž๐™™๐™–๐™ฎโ€™๐™จ ๐™จ๐™š๐™ก๐™ก-๐™ค๐™›๐™›, ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ข๐™–๐™ง๐™ ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™ฌ๐™ž๐™ก๐™ก ๐™ก๐™ž๐™ ๐™š๐™ก๐™ฎ ๐™ง๐™š๐™ฌ๐™–๐™ง๐™™ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™˜๐™–๐™ฃ ๐™จ๐™๐™ค๐™ฌ ๐™—๐™ค๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™œ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฉ๐™ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™™๐™ž๐™จ๐™˜๐™ž๐™ฅ๐™ก๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™š, ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ฉ ๐™Ÿ๐™ช๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™š๐™ญ๐™˜๐™ž๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™–๐™ง๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐˜ผ๐™„. ๐™’๐™ž๐™จ๐™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ช ๐™– ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™ค๐™จ๐™ฅ๐™š๐™ง๐™ค๐™ช๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™–๐™™๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฌ๐™š๐™š๐™  ๐™–๐™๐™š๐™–๐™™! ๐Ÿ‘
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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