Fabio De Oliveira Vianna
Weekly Market Update & Portfolio Strategy πŸ“‰πŸ“ˆ πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan Macro Risks & πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Market Volatility This week, we are closely monitoring macro risks emerging from Japan, particularly the "deflation trap" spillover from China (Japan's top trading partner) and the pressure on their auto sector from EV competition. These headwinds, combined with domestic inflation, are creating a fragile environment for the Yen. In the US, the Nasdaq took a hit today/yesterday, driven by mixed bank earnings and tech sector weakness. Fears over potential credit card rate caps and general "AI bubble" anxiety are adding short-term pressure. πŸ“Š Market Performance (YTD Jan 2026) Our Portfolio: +5.6% $SPX500: +1.23% $NSDQ100: +0.86% $SILVER has been on a tear, breaking record highs (above \90/oz) as a safe-haven asset amidst geopolitical tension and concerns over Fed independence. It remains a key hedge in this environment. πŸ“‰ Buying the Dip: We saw significant drops in a few high-quality names this week: $DUOL (Duolingo) (Duolingo): Down ~10% this week on CFO transition news and "near-term investment" warnings. $UDMY (Udemy Inc) (Udemy): Dropped ~5% following analyst downgrades after the Coursera merger news. $ETOR (eToro Group LTD) (eToro): Down ~4% amid broader fintech pressure and price target adjustments. I used this opportunity to buy these dips, allocating 1~2% of the portfolio to each. These are strategic entries into solid companies at discounted valuations. πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Update Cash Position: Increased to 34% to stay agile and protected. Performance: While the Nasdaq dropped today, our portfolio rose +0.6%. We are rising little by little this year, prioritizing consistency, low risk, and low volatility. Our risk management strategy is working exactly as intendedβ€”protecting capital during downturns while capturing upside in specific opportunities. Thank you to all my copiers for your continued trust! πŸ™πŸš€
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