🇺🇸 Wall Street: ¿Oportunidad de compra o trampa? | Lo que espero esta semana
¡Hola, comunidad! ☕️ Iniciamos febrero con una volatilidad que ya extrañábamos. Después de un enero de récords, el mercado está tratando de digerir de golpe tres cosas: el cambio de guardia en la Fed con Kevin Warsh, la sacudida en los metales y unos reportes de ganancias que no están perdonando ni el más mínimo error.
Les comparto lo que estoy vigilando para mover mi portafolio estos días:
1. 📊 El "momento de la verdad" para la IA
Ya no valen solo las promesas. El mercado ahora exige ver dinero real sobre la mesa.
Hoy lunes: Ojo a Palantir ($PLTR) al cierre; la clave será ver cómo van esos contratos gubernamentales.
Martes y Miércoles: Vienen los pesos pesados: Amazon ($AMZN), Alphabet ($GOOGL) y AMD ($AMD).
Disney ($DIS): Semana vital para ver si el streaming y los parques realmente pueden sostener el precio actual de la acción.
2. 📉 ¿Qué pasa con el Oro y la Plata?
La caída brutal de los metales está provocando un efecto dominó. Muchos inversores están teniendo que vender acciones para cubrir pérdidas en commodities (ajustes de márgenes), y eso le está pegando al mercado en general. Si el dólar sigue ganando fuerza, las multinacionales del S&P 500 la van a tener difícil.
3. 🏦 El dato que todos esperan: El empleo
El viernes es el "plato fuerte" con el NFP (nóminas no agrícolas).
El mercado espera: Unos 68,000 empleos.
Mi lectura: Si el número sale muy alto, olvídense de recortes de tasas pronto. Warsh tiene una postura más dura que Powell y no dudará en enfriar el mercado si es necesario.
💡 Lo que estoy haciendo yo:
Sigo de cerca al S&P 500 ($SPX500). Mientras aguantemos por encima de la media de 50 días (cerca de los 6,950), mantengo el optimismo, pero con el dedo en el gatillo. He subido un poco mi efectivo (Cash) para tener liquidez por si las tecnológicas dan una oportunidad de entrada más abajo si la corrección se profundiza.... Show More Translate
Not investment advice. The author may have financial interests in the mentioned instruments.
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Sat Jul 11 2026 17:05:39 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
