Dear copiers and follower, welcome back.
๐ฝ๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐๐ฃ ๐๐ฃ๐๐จ ๐๐๐๐ง๐ช๐๐ง๐ฎ ๐ฌ๐๐ฉ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐๐ง๐ฅ ๐ฟ๐๐๐ก๐๐ฃ๐, ๐๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ค๐ง๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐๐๐ง๐ช๐๐ง๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ ๐๐ฉ๐จ ๐๐๐จ๐ฉ๐ค๐ง๐ฎ
Traditionally, February has been a positive month for BTC, with 10 out of the last 12 years showing growth. However, 2025 has proven to be a negative exception, comparable only to February 2020, which was marked by the onset of the pandemic.
One of the key triggers was Donald Trumpโironically, the same figure who had previously driven Bitcoinโs price higher. His statements and the announcement of new tariffs against the European Union, Canada, and Mexico have increased market uncertainty, causing Bitcoin to drop by approximately 23% in just a few days.
Investors fear economic and trade repercussions, with tariffs on the EU estimated at $29.3 billion. This has fueled a wave of sell-offs in both the stock and crypto markets.
At the same time, the market has faced strong pressure from massive sell-offs of Bitcoin spot ETFs. Outflows have reached record levels: BlackRock reported $418.1 million in outflows in a single day, surpassing previous records set earlier in the year. Overall, February recorded outflows exceeding $3.36 billion, making it the worst month ever for crypto ETFs.
Retail investor fear has returned to levels seen during the Terra-Luna collapse in 2022. The Fear & Greed index has dropped to extreme lows, despite Bitcoinโs correction standing at 23%โfar below the -50% declines seen in previous bear cycles. The recent drop below $92,000 has triggered a wave of panic, similar to what happened in 2022 with the collapse of UST and LUNA.
However, the current context is different. While the 2022 market faced structural crises such as the Terra-Luna and FTX collapses, todayโs movement is primarily driven by macroeconomic factors.
Possible Next Moves
๐ฝ๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐๐ฃโ๐จ ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ ๐๐๐จ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ ๐ค๐ฃ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ง๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฉ๐ง๐๐ฃ๐ ๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐จ๐๐ก ๐ฅ๐ค๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐ข๐๐๐๐ฉ ๐๐.
Recently, Bitcoin dropped below the 200-period moving average, touching an initial volume cluster between $76,000 and $78,000 before quickly recovering to $85,000.
However, to confirm a rebound, it is crucial for the price to stabilize and close above the 200-period moving average.
Another strong bullish signal would be breaking key Fibonacci levels: 61.8% at $90,000 and 71.8% at $92,000. The latter also represents the lower boundary of the distribution range formed since November 18, 2024, within which the price has fluctuated over the past three months.
If Bitcoin fails to reclaim these levels, the risk of further downside remains high. The next volume cluster is between $70,000 and $68,000, which could imply a potential 17% drop from current levels.
It is always important to remember that cryptocurrencies are among the most volatile assets in the market, and such sharp fluctuations are normal and intrinsic to the asset class. Moreover, the performance of these assets is closely tied to market liquidity and investorsโ risk-on or risk-off sentiment.
In this period of macroeconomic uncertainty linked to potential moves by the Trump administration, it is natural to see nervous price movements. This makes it much more challenging to define a clear bullish or bearish trend. Having a solid entry and exit strategy and avoiding panic remains essential.
Thank you for your support
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