Vladyslav Koptiev
Edited
๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ผ ๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ - ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ Last month, our portfolio delivered 2.44% while $SPX500 gained 3.65%. YTD we are beating index by 25%. With this result, my task is becoming more tilted towards defending gains, rather than achieving new alpha. From this perspective, moving to lower-volatility assets is also justified. I believe it is also wise due to an overheated market point of view. And then again, I am not saying that the new alpha is not achievable in the near/mid term. Once the market retreats, our portfolio will benefit from a lower drawdown. And there is a chance that it will happen not long from now. ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป S&P is currently trading at ATH. From a relative valuation point of view, Shiller PE surpassed 39 for the second time in stock market history. Market Cap to the US GNP (Buffett indicator) is currently trading at a historical high of 2.2. ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ โž– Partial disposal of SBH and GOOG to trim positions and fix gains. โž– Sale of BWA to fix gains as part of general portfolio de-risking. โž• Used proceeds to add iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF. โž• Added more NVO shares at 56. ๐Ÿงฏ ๐™Ž๐™ฉ๐™ง๐™š๐™จ๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ Currently, if the market collapses by 50%, my public portfolio will lose 33%. I am on track to bring the expected drawdown to 25-30% while the market keeps going up. We will achieve this by tilting the portfolio towards bonds/cash/low vol stocks. ๐Ÿš€ ๐—›๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ/๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ/๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ: Treasury Bond ETF โ€“ 26% Novo Nordisk AS ADR โ€“ 8% Eagle Bancorp Inc โ€“ 8% Evolution AB โ€“ 7% iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF โ€“ 7% Invmt Grade Corp Bd ETF โ€“ 7% Biogen โ€“ 6% Merchants Bancorp โ€“ 5% UnitedHealth Group โ€“ 5% Vanguard Information Technology ETF โ€“ 5% Alphabet Inc โ€“ 3% Sally Beauty Holdings Inc โ€“ 3% Lululemon Athletica Inc โ€“ 2% Cash โ€“ 8% ๐˜ฝ๐™ง๐™š๐™–๐™ ๐™™๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฃ ๐™—๐™ฎ ๐™จ๐™š๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ค๐™ง/๐™–๐™จ๐™จ๐™š๐™ฉ ๐™˜๐™ก๐™–๐™จ๐™จ Healthcare โ€“ 20% Financials โ€“ 13% Consumer Cyclical โ€“ 12% Low volatility ETF โ€“ 7% Technology โ€“ 5% Communication Services โ€“ 3% Bonds โ€“ 16% Cash and equivalents โ€“ 24% Finally, I want to share my observation in relation to the current state of social media. Be aware of confirmation bias, which is often embedded into investment-related posts. Confirmation bias is when someone has a high conviction or a position in the stock, and he/she will always find any possible and impossible assumptions to justify that this specific stock is a bargain. Their thesis can sometimes work, and sometimes not. Just be aware of this and always apply your own judgment. Only you are responsible for your investment performance. Analysts like myself are obviously here to assist, but the eventual decisions are yours. Leave a comment โฌ‡๏ธ if you have any questions. With regards. AtlasCapital. $BTC $VGT (Vanguard Information Technology) $ETH $NSDQ100 _______________________________________________________ ๐Ÿ’ฐ ๐™ˆ๐™ฎ ๐™ฅ๐™ค๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™›๐™ค๐™ก๐™ž๐™ค ๐™™๐™š๐™ก๐™ž๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™š๐™™ ๐Ÿฎ3% ๐™–๐™ซ๐™š๐™ง๐™–๐™œ๐™š ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฃ๐™ช๐™–๐™ก ๐™ง๐™š๐™ฉ๐™ช๐™ง๐™ฃ ๐™จ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™˜๐™š ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿด. ๐Ÿ“Œ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜† ๐—”๐˜๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—–๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ณ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜€-๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐˜†๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป. etoro.tw/3AsaBiH โœ… ๐Ÿ’ผ ๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ, ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ถ๐—น๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ท๐—ผ๐˜† ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ฒ. *Past performance does not guarantee future results
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